Olympiakos vs Apollon Limassol: prediction and stats
1. DivisionRegular Season - 9Kick-off on November 7, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Makareio Stadio, Lefkosía
The Footlab model makes Apollon Limassol the favourite at 54%, against 26% for a draw and 20% for Olympiakos. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Olympiakos vs Apollon Limassol?
Apollon Limassol starts as the favourite with a 200-point Elo edge (1,955 vs 1,755).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Olympiakos have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Apollon Limassol have 7, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 15, 2026 | Anorthosis(home) | 1-0 | 1. Division |
| May 9, 2026 | AEL(away) | 3-1 | 1. Division |
| May 1, 2026 | Omonia Aradippou(home) | 2-1 | 1. Division |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Ethnikos Achna(away) | 1-2 | 1. Division |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Akritas(home) | 0-1 | 1. Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 11, 2026 | Brann(home) | 2-4 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Brann(away) | 1-0 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Dila(home) | 3-0 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Jul 23, 2026 | Dila(away) | 4-0 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Jul 16, 2026 | AEK Larnaca(home) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Olympiakos win(s), 2 draw(s), 4 Apollon Limassol win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 8, 2026 | Apollon Limassol 3-1 Olympiakos | 1. Division |
| Oct 25, 2025 | Olympiakos 2-2 Apollon Limassol | 1. Division |
| Aug 6, 2025 | Apollon Limassol 3-2 Olympiakos | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jan 27, 2023 | Apollon Limassol 2-1 Olympiakos | 1. Division |
| Oct 21, 2022 | Olympiakos 1-1 Apollon Limassol | 1. Division |
| Jan 30, 2022 | Apollon Limassol 2-1 Olympiakos | 1. Division |
Last archived meeting: Apollon Limassol vs Olympiakos on Feb 8, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Olympiakos score 1.1 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Apollon Limassol score 1.7 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olympiakos | 1.1 | 1.5 | 3 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Apollon Limassol | 1.7 | 1.5 | 6 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Olympiakos sit 11th in 1. Division (40 points from 33 matches) and Apollon Limassol sit 3rd (67 points from 36 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Apollon Limassol | 36 | 20 | 7 | 9 | 52 | 41 | 67 |
| 11 | Olympiakos | 33 | 10 | 10 | 13 | 32 | 44 | 40 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Olympiakos vs Apollon Limassol?
- The Footlab model makes Apollon Limassol the favourite at 54%, against 26% for a draw and 20% for Olympiakos.
- Where and when is Olympiakos vs Apollon Limassol played?
- Olympiakos vs Apollon Limassol is played on November 7, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Makareio Stadio, in the 1. Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.