AEK Larnaca vs Legia Warszawa: result 4-1 and analysis
UEFA Europa League3rd Qualifying RoundKick-off on August 7, 2025 at 04:30 PM (UTC)AEK Arena - George Karapatakis, Lárnaka (Larnaca)
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What was the result of AEK Larnaca vs Legia Warszawa?
AEK Larnaca won 4-1 on August 7, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 16′Pere PonsAEK Larnaca
- 18′J. NsameLegia Warszawa
- 48′K. AngielskiAEK Larnaca
- 78′Y. ChacónAEK Larnaca
- 85′Ángel GarcíaAEK Larnaca
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, AEK Larnaca have 6 wins, 6 draws and 3 defeats; Legia Warszawa have 9, 4 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 31, 2025 | Celje(home) | 2-1 | UEFA Europa League |
| Jul 24, 2025 | Celje(away) | 1-1 | UEFA Europa League |
| Jul 17, 2025 | FK Partizan(away) | 0-1 | UEFA Europa League |
| Jul 10, 2025 | FK Partizan(home) | 1-0 | UEFA Europa League |
| May 24, 2025 | Pafos(home) | 0-0 | Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 3, 2025 | Arka Gdynia(home) | 0-0 | Ekstraklasa |
| Jul 31, 2025 | Baník Ostrava(home) | 2-1 | UEFA Europa League |
| Jul 27, 2025 | Korona Kielce(away) | 2-0 | Ekstraklasa |
| Jul 24, 2025 | Baník Ostrava(away) | 2-2 | UEFA Europa League |
| Jul 17, 2025 | Aktobe(away) | 1-0 | UEFA Europa League |
How many goals should we expect?
AEK Larnaca score 1.1 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Legia Warszawa score 1.7 and concede 1.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AEK Larnaca | 1.1 | 0.7 | 6 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
| Legia Warszawa | 1.7 | 1.1 | 5 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy