Where and when is Wisla Plock vs Legia Warszawa played?

Wisla Plock vs Legia Warszawa is played on November 21, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Orlen Stadion, in the Ekstraklasa.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Wisla Plock vs Legia Warszawa: prediction and stats

EkstraklasaRegular Season - 15Kick-off on November 21, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Orlen Stadion, Płock

Wisla Plock

Legia Warszawa

The Footlab model makes Legia Warszawa the favourite at 39%, against 27% for a draw and 34% for Wisla Plock. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Wisla Plock vs Legia Warszawa?

Legia Warszawa starts as the favourite with a 142-point Elo edge (2,058 vs 1,916).

Wisla Plock win34 %

Draw27 %

Legia Warszawa win39 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Wisla Plock have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Legia Warszawa have 11, 3 and 1.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Wisla Plock
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	GKS Katowice(away)	0-5	Ekstraklasa
Aug 7, 2026	Wisla Krakow(away)	1-2	Ekstraklasa
Jul 31, 2026	Widzew Łódź(home)	0-0	Ekstraklasa
Jul 26, 2026	Raków Częstochowa(away)	2-1	Ekstraklasa
Jul 22, 2026	Pelikan Łowicz(home)	3-2	Friendlies Clubs

Legia Warszawa
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Piast Gliwice(away)	1-1	Ekstraklasa
Aug 14, 2026	Radomiak Radom(home)	5-0	Ekstraklasa
Aug 8, 2026	Korona Kielce(away)	1-1	Ekstraklasa
Aug 2, 2026	Zaglebie Lubin(home)	3-1	Ekstraklasa
Jul 24, 2026	Pogon Szczecin(away)	1-0	Ekstraklasa

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Wisla Plock win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Legia Warszawa win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Feb 21, 2026	Legia Warszawa 2-1 Wisla Plock	Ekstraklasa
Aug 17, 2025	Wisla Plock 1-0 Legia Warszawa	Ekstraklasa
Apr 28, 2023	Legia Warszawa 2-0 Wisla Plock	Ekstraklasa
Oct 18, 2022	Wisla Plock 0-3 Legia Warszawa	Cup
Oct 14, 2022	Wisla Plock 2-1 Legia Warszawa	Ekstraklasa
Dec 12, 2021	Wisla Plock 1-0 Legia Warszawa	Ekstraklasa

Last archived meeting: Legia Warszawa vs Wisla Plock on Feb 21, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Wisla Plock score 1.3 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Legia Warszawa score 1.9 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Wisla Plock	1.3	1.6	4	6/15	11/15
Legia Warszawa	1.9	0.7	7	7/15	7/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Wisla Plock sit 15th in Ekstraklasa (4 points from 4 matches) and Legia Warszawa sit 1st (11 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Legia Warszawa	5	3	2	0	11	3	11
15	Wisla Plock	4	1	1	2	3	8	4

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Wisla Plock vs Legia Warszawa?: The Footlab model makes Legia Warszawa the favourite at 39%, against 27% for a draw and 34% for Wisla Plock.
Where and when is Wisla Plock vs Legia Warszawa played?: Wisla Plock vs Legia Warszawa is played on November 21, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Orlen Stadion, in the Ekstraklasa.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.