AEK Larnaca vs Omonia Aradippou: prediction and stats
1. DivisionRegular Season - 5Kick-off on October 12, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)AEK Arena - George Karapatakis, Lárnaka (Larnaca)
The Footlab AI model makes AEK Larnaca the favourite at 63%, against 23% for a draw and 14% for Omonia Aradippou. The most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 1,754 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 8, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win AEK Larnaca vs Omonia Aradippou?
AEK Larnaca starts as the favourite with a 265-point Elo edge (2,047 vs 1,782).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for AEK Larnaca vs Omonia Aradippou
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
AEK Larnaca
4-2-3-1- 11R. Bajić
- 14A. Layouni
- 7Gus Ledes
- 20J. Repas
- 6I. Pankov
- 21Miramón
- 15H. Miličević
- 3M. van der Hoorn
- 17K. Pileas
- 23S. Köhler
- 92A. Paleari
Omonia Aradippou
4-4-1-1- 9G. Pontikos
- 7M. Koumouris
- 8A. El Bouchataoui
- 21K. Evripidou
- 10J. Schmidt
- 35P. Polycarpou
- 34Danny Agostinho Henriques
- 14J. van Mullem
- 81V. De Marco
- 20Jairo Izquierdo
- 12Ž. Živković
Computed on October 8, 2026 at 11:46 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, AEK Larnaca have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; Omonia Aradippou have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2026 | Apollon Limassol(home) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Nea Salamis(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Omonia 29is Maiou(away) | 2-1 | 1. Division |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Pafos(home) | 0-1 | 1. Division |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Nea Salamis(away) | 4-1 | 1. Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 2026 | Olympiakos(home) | 1-1 | 1. Division |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Karmiotissa(away) | 1-1 | 1. Division |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Krasava Ypsonas(home) | 2-1 | 1. Division |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Omonia Nicosia(away) | 0-0 | 1. Division |
| Aug 8, 2026 | AEK Larnaca(away) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 AEK Larnaca wins, 0 draws, 3 Omonia Aradippou wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 8, 2026 | AEK Larnaca 0-1 Omonia Aradippou | Friendlies Clubs |
| Feb 22, 2026 | Omonia Aradippou 2-1 AEK Larnaca | 1. Division |
| Nov 9, 2025 | AEK Larnaca 1-0 Omonia Aradippou | 1. Division |
| Mar 9, 2025 | Omonia Aradippou 2-0 AEK Larnaca | 1. Division |
| Dec 6, 2024 | AEK Larnaca 1-0 Omonia Aradippou | 1. Division |
| Jul 18, 2020 | AEK Larnaca 4-0 Omonia Aradippou | Friendlies Clubs |
Last archived meeting: AEK Larnaca vs Omonia Aradippou on Aug 8, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
AEK Larnaca score 1.8 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Omonia Aradippou score 1.1 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 44% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AEK Larnaca | 1.8 | 1.1 | 3 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Omonia Aradippou | 1.1 | 1.1 | 3 | 10/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
AEK Larnaca sit 1st in 1. Division (9 points from 4 matches) and Omonia Aradippou sit 6th (6 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AEK Larnaca | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 4 | 9 |
| 6 | Omonia Aradippou | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 6 |
A question about AEK Larnaca vs Omonia Aradippou?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for AEK Larnaca vs Omonia Aradippou?
- The Footlab AI model makes AEK Larnaca the favourite at 63%, against 23% for a draw and 14% for Omonia Aradippou.
- Where and when is AEK Larnaca vs Omonia Aradippou played?
- AEK Larnaca vs Omonia Aradippou is played on October 12, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at AEK Arena - George Karapatakis, in the 1. Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.