AEL vs Omonia 29is Maiou: prediction and stats
1. DivisionRegular Season - 5Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Alphamega Stadium, Kolossi
The Footlab model makes AEL the favourite at 51%, against 26% for a draw and 23% for Omonia 29is Maiou. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win AEL vs Omonia 29is Maiou?
A very open match: only 93 Elo points separate AEL (1,782) and Omonia 29is Maiou (1,689).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, AEL have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Omonia 29is Maiou have 8, 6 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 19, 2026 | Krasava Odintsovo(away) | 4-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Radomiak Radom(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 15, 2026 | Akritas(away) | 2-1 | 1. Division |
| May 9, 2026 | Olympiakos(home) | 1-3 | 1. Division |
| May 2, 2026 | Krasava Ypsonas(away) | 1-1 | 1. Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 24, 2026 | MEAP Nisou(away) | 3-3 | 2. Division |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Doxa(home) | 5-1 | 2. Division |
| Apr 4, 2026 | PAEEK(away) | 3-3 | 2. Division |
| Mar 22, 2026 | Nea Salamis(home) | 2-2 | 2. Division |
| Mar 18, 2026 | ASIL Lysi(away) | 1-0 | 2. Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 2 AEL win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Omonia 29is Maiou win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 30, 2025 | Omonia 29is Maiou 0-3 AEL | 1. Division |
| Dec 14, 2024 | AEL 1-1 Omonia 29is Maiou | 1. Division |
| Aug 24, 2024 | Omonia 29is Maiou 2-4 AEL | 1. Division |
Last archived meeting: Omonia 29is Maiou vs AEL on Mar 30, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
AEL score 1.5 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Omonia 29is Maiou score 2.5 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AEL | 1.5 | 1.4 | 3 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
| Omonia 29is Maiou | 2.5 | 1.2 | 5 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | AEL | 33 | 13 | 5 | 15 | 41 | 46 | 44 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for AEL vs Omonia 29is Maiou?
- The Footlab model makes AEL the favourite at 51%, against 26% for a draw and 23% for Omonia 29is Maiou.
- Where and when is AEL vs Omonia 29is Maiou played?
- AEL vs Omonia 29is Maiou is played on October 10, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Alphamega Stadium, in the 1. Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.