Karmiotissa vs Omonia Nicosia: prediction and stats
1. DivisionRegular Season - 5Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Dimotiko Stadio Pano Polemidias, Pano Polemidia
The Footlab model makes Omonia Nicosia the favourite at 54%, against 25% for a draw and 21% for Karmiotissa. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Karmiotissa vs Omonia Nicosia?
Omonia Nicosia is a heavy favourite: 2,078 Elo points against 1,725, a 353-point gap.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Karmiotissa have 9 wins, 5 draws and 1 defeats; Omonia Nicosia have 10, 3 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 24, 2026 | PAEEK(away) | 0-0 | 2. Division |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Nea Salamis(home) | 1-0 | 2. Division |
| Apr 4, 2026 | ASIL Lysi(away) | 6-2 | 2. Division |
| Mar 21, 2026 | MEAP Nisou(home) | 1-0 | 2. Division |
| Mar 18, 2026 | Ayia Napa(home) | 3-0 | 2. Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | St. Truiden(away) | 0-1 | UEFA Europa League |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Lincoln Red Imps FC(home) | 1-0 | UEFA Europa League |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Lincoln Red Imps FC(away) | 1-1 | UEFA Europa League |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Kairat Almaty(away) | 0-1 | UEFA Champions League |
| Jul 22, 2026 | Kairat Almaty(home) | 1-0 | UEFA Champions League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Karmiotissa win(s), 1 draw(s), 5 Omonia Nicosia win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 1, 2025 | Omonia Nicosia 3-0 Karmiotissa | 1. Division |
| Oct 28, 2024 | Karmiotissa 2-6 Omonia Nicosia | 1. Division |
| Dec 16, 2023 | Omonia Nicosia 2-1 Karmiotissa | 1. Division |
| Aug 26, 2023 | Karmiotissa 3-3 Omonia Nicosia | 1. Division |
| Mar 5, 2023 | Karmiotissa 1-2 Omonia Nicosia | 1. Division |
| Dec 5, 2022 | Omonia Nicosia 4-0 Karmiotissa | 1. Division |
Last archived meeting: Omonia Nicosia vs Karmiotissa on Feb 1, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Karmiotissa score 2.1 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Omonia Nicosia score 1.7 and concede 0.5. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Karmiotissa | 2.1 | 0.7 | 7 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Omonia Nicosia | 1.7 | 0.5 | 9 | 4/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Omonia Nicosia | 36 | 27 | 6 | 3 | 88 | 24 | 87 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Karmiotissa vs Omonia Nicosia?
- The Footlab model makes Omonia Nicosia the favourite at 54%, against 25% for a draw and 21% for Karmiotissa.
- Where and when is Karmiotissa vs Omonia Nicosia played?
- Karmiotissa vs Omonia Nicosia is played on October 10, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Dimotiko Stadio Pano Polemidias, in the 1. Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.