AEL vs Pafos: result 1-2 and analysis
1. DivisionRegular Season - 16Kick-off on December 23, 2023 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Alphamega Stadium, Kolossi
Full time
What was the result of AEL vs Pafos?
Pafos won 1-2 on December 23, 2023.
Goalscorers
- 14′M. NamePafos
- 46′G. GerolemouAEL
- 81′M. TankovicPafos
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, AEL have 6 wins, 1 draws and 8 defeats; Pafos have 9, 2 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 17, 2023 | AE Zakakiou(away) | 4-1 | 1. Division |
| Dec 9, 2023 | Doxa(home) | 2-0 | 1. Division |
| Dec 4, 2023 | Aris(home) | 0-4 | 1. Division |
| Nov 27, 2023 | AEK Larnaca(away) | 0-3 | 1. Division |
| Nov 11, 2023 | Apoel Nicosia(away) | 0-1 | 1. Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 17, 2023 | Apoel Nicosia(home) | 0-1 | 1. Division |
| Dec 10, 2023 | Karmiotissa(away) | 1-2 | 1. Division |
| Dec 3, 2023 | Nea Salamis(away) | 2-0 | 1. Division |
| Nov 25, 2023 | Othellos(home) | 3-0 | 1. Division |
| Nov 11, 2023 | Ethnikos Achna(away) | 4-1 | 1. Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 AEL win(s), 0 draw(s), 4 Pafos win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 2, 2023 | Pafos 3-1 AEL | 1. Division |
| Feb 8, 2023 | Pafos 1-0 AEL | 1. Division |
| Nov 6, 2022 | AEL 1-3 Pafos | 1. Division |
| Dec 10, 2021 | Pafos 1-0 AEL | 1. Division |
| Sep 13, 2021 | AEL 4-0 Pafos | 1. Division |
| Feb 7, 2021 | AEL 1-0 Pafos | 1. Division |
How many goals should we expect?
AEL score 1.2 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Pafos score 1.9 and concede 0.7.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AEL | 1.2 | 1.7 | 3 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| Pafos | 1.9 | 0.7 | 7 | 5/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
AEL sit 8th in 1. Division (44 points from 33 matches) and Pafos sit 4th (62 points from 36 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Pafos | 36 | 18 | 8 | 10 | 66 | 38 | 62 |
| 8 | AEL | 33 | 13 | 5 | 15 | 41 | 46 | 44 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy