Aerostar Bacau vs FC Bacău II: prediction and stats
Liga III - Serie 1Group 1 - 11Kick-off on October 31, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadionul Aerostar, Bacău
The Footlab model makes Aerostar Bacau the favourite at 68%, against 17% for a draw and 15% for FC Bacău II. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Aerostar Bacau vs FC Bacău II?
A very open match: only 98 Elo points separate Aerostar Bacau (1,365) and FC Bacău II (1,267).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Aerostar Bacau have 6 wins, 1 draws and 8 defeats; FC Bacău II have 3, 3 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 5, 2026 | Viitorul Onesti(home) | 0-1 | Cupa României |
| Jul 29, 2026 | CSM FC Vaslui(home) | 3-1 | Cupa României |
| May 16, 2026 | Bucovina Rădăuţi(home) | 2-1 | Liga III - Serie 1 |
| May 8, 2026 | Odorheiu Secuiesc(away) | 2-6 | Liga III - Serie 1 |
| May 1, 2026 | CSM FC Vaslui(home) | 3-0 | Liga III - Serie 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 16, 2026 | USV Iaşi(away) | 1-2 | Liga III - Serie 1 |
| May 8, 2026 | CSM Adjud(home) | 1-2 | Liga III - Serie 1 |
| May 2, 2026 | Bucovina Rădăuţi(away) | 0-4 | Liga III - Serie 1 |
| Apr 24, 2026 | Gheorgheni(home) | 3-1 | Liga III - Serie 1 |
| Apr 17, 2026 | Odorheiu Secuiesc(away) | 2-4 | Liga III - Serie 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 2 Aerostar Bacau win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 FC Bacău II win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 10, 2026 | FC Bacău II 3-2 Aerostar Bacau | Liga III - Serie 1 |
| Feb 27, 2026 | Aerostar Bacau 3-1 FC Bacău II | Liga III - Serie 1 |
| Oct 3, 2025 | FC Bacău II 0-2 Aerostar Bacau | Liga III - Serie 1 |
Last archived meeting: FC Bacău II vs Aerostar Bacau on Apr 10, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Aerostar Bacau score 1.7 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; FC Bacău II score 1.5 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 74% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aerostar Bacau | 1.7 | 2.1 | 1 | 10/15 | 12/15 |
| FC Bacău II | 1.5 | 2.3 | 1 | 11/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Aerostar Bacau sit 5th in Liga III - Serie 1 (35 points from 7 matches) and FC Bacău II sit 8th (18 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Aerostar Bacau | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 17 | 35 |
| 8 | FC Bacău II | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 11 | 17 | 18 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Aerostar Bacau vs FC Bacău II?
- The Footlab model makes Aerostar Bacau the favourite at 68%, against 17% for a draw and 15% for FC Bacău II.
- Where and when is Aerostar Bacau vs FC Bacău II played?
- Aerostar Bacau vs FC Bacău II is played on October 31, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadionul Aerostar, in the Liga III - Serie 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 74% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.