Bradul Putna vs Aerostar Bacau: prediction and stats
Liga III - Serie 1Group 1 - 15Kick-off on November 28, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Bradul Putna the favourite at 52%, against 24% for a draw and 25% for Aerostar Bacau. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Bradul Putna vs Aerostar Bacau?
A very open match: only 57 Elo points separate Bradul Putna (1,422) and Aerostar Bacau (1,365).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 2 matches in all competitions, Bradul Putna have 1 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeats; Aerostar Bacau have 6, 1 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 5, 2026 | USV Iaşi(home) | 1-2 | Cupa României |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Bucovina Rădăuţi(home) | 9-0 | Cupa României |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 5, 2026 | Viitorul Onesti(home) | 0-1 | Cupa României |
| Jul 29, 2026 | CSM FC Vaslui(home) | 3-1 | Cupa României |
| May 16, 2026 | Bucovina Rădăuţi(home) | 2-1 | Liga III - Serie 1 |
| May 8, 2026 | Odorheiu Secuiesc(away) | 2-6 | Liga III - Serie 1 |
| May 1, 2026 | CSM FC Vaslui(home) | 3-0 | Liga III - Serie 1 |
How many goals should we expect?
Bradul Putna score 5.0 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 2; Aerostar Bacau score 1.7 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bradul Putna | 5.0 | 1.0 | 1 | 1/2 | 2/2 |
| Aerostar Bacau | 1.7 | 2.1 | 1 | 10/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 2 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Aerostar Bacau | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 17 | 35 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Bradul Putna vs Aerostar Bacau?
- The Footlab model makes Bradul Putna the favourite at 52%, against 24% for a draw and 25% for Aerostar Bacau.
- Where and when is Bradul Putna vs Aerostar Bacau played?
- Bradul Putna vs Aerostar Bacau is played on November 28, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC), in the Liga III - Serie 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.