Paşcani vs USV Iaşi: prediction and stats
Liga III - Serie 1Group 1 - 11Kick-off on October 31, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadionul CFR, Paşcani
The Footlab model makes Paşcani the favourite at 62%, against 21% for a draw and 18% for USV Iaşi. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Paşcani vs USV Iaşi?
A very open match: only 14 Elo points separate Paşcani (1,395) and USV Iaşi (1,380).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Paşcani have 9 wins, 1 draws and 5 defeats; USV Iaşi have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 13, 2025 | Soimii Gura Humorului(home) | 1-2 | Cupa României |
| Aug 6, 2025 | Stiinta Miroslava(home) | 4-1 | Cupa României |
| Jul 30, 2025 | USV Iaşi(home) | 5-2 | Cupa României |
| Jul 19, 2025 | Răuceşti(away) | 4-0 | Cupa României |
| Sep 10, 2024 | Politehnica Iasi(home) | 0-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 19, 2026 | Sporting Lieşti(home) | 1-2 | Cupa României |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Cetatea Suceava(home) | 1-0 | Cupa României |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Bradul Putna(away) | 2-1 | Cupa României |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Stiinta Miroslava(home) | 1-0 | Cupa României |
| May 16, 2026 | FC Bacău II(home) | 2-1 | Liga III - Serie 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 1 Paşcani win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 USV Iaşi win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 30, 2025 | Paşcani 5-2 USV Iaşi | Cupa României |
How many goals should we expect?
Paşcani score 2.5 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; USV Iaşi score 1.5 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paşcani | 2.5 | 1.5 | 4 | 9/15 | 12/15 |
| USV Iaşi | 1.5 | 1.5 | 3 | 11/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | USV Iaşi | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 14 | 37 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Paşcani vs USV Iaşi?
- The Footlab model makes Paşcani the favourite at 62%, against 21% for a draw and 18% for USV Iaşi.
- Where and when is Paşcani vs USV Iaşi played?
- Paşcani vs USV Iaşi is played on October 31, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadionul CFR, in the Liga III - Serie 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.