Aerostar Bacau vs USV Iaşi: prediction and stats
Liga III - Serie 1Group 1 - 21Kick-off on March 20, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadionul Aerostar, Bacău
The Footlab model makes Aerostar Bacau the favourite at 53%, against 22% for a draw and 24% for USV Iaşi. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Aerostar Bacau vs USV Iaşi?
A very open match: only 15 Elo points separate Aerostar Bacau (1,365) and USV Iaşi (1,380).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Aerostar Bacau have 6 wins, 1 draws and 8 defeats; USV Iaşi have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 5, 2026 | Viitorul Onesti(home) | 0-1 | Cupa României |
| Jul 29, 2026 | CSM FC Vaslui(home) | 3-1 | Cupa României |
| May 16, 2026 | Bucovina Rădăuţi(home) | 2-1 | Liga III - Serie 1 |
| May 8, 2026 | Odorheiu Secuiesc(away) | 2-6 | Liga III - Serie 1 |
| May 1, 2026 | CSM FC Vaslui(home) | 3-0 | Liga III - Serie 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 19, 2026 | Sporting Lieşti(home) | 1-2 | Cupa României |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Cetatea Suceava(home) | 1-0 | Cupa României |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Bradul Putna(away) | 2-1 | Cupa României |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Stiinta Miroslava(home) | 1-0 | Cupa României |
| May 16, 2026 | FC Bacău II(home) | 2-1 | Liga III - Serie 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Aerostar Bacau win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 USV Iaşi win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 3, 2026 | USV Iaşi 3-1 Aerostar Bacau | Liga III - Serie 1 |
| Nov 7, 2025 | USV Iaşi 0-1 Aerostar Bacau | Liga III - Serie 1 |
| Aug 29, 2025 | Aerostar Bacau 2-2 USV Iaşi | Liga III - Serie 1 |
Last archived meeting: USV Iaşi vs Aerostar Bacau on Apr 3, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Aerostar Bacau score 1.7 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; USV Iaşi score 1.5 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aerostar Bacau | 1.7 | 2.1 | 1 | 10/15 | 12/15 |
| USV Iaşi | 1.5 | 1.5 | 3 | 11/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Aerostar Bacau sit 5th in Liga III - Serie 1 (35 points from 7 matches) and USV Iaşi sit 3rd (37 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | USV Iaşi | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 14 | 37 |
| 5 | Aerostar Bacau | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 17 | 35 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Aerostar Bacau vs USV Iaşi?
- The Footlab model makes Aerostar Bacau the favourite at 53%, against 22% for a draw and 24% for USV Iaşi.
- Where and when is Aerostar Bacau vs USV Iaşi played?
- Aerostar Bacau vs USV Iaşi is played on March 20, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadionul Aerostar, in the Liga III - Serie 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.