USV Iaşi vs Paşcani: prediction and stats
Liga III - Serie 1Group 1 - 22Kick-off on March 27, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadionul USV Iași, Iași
The Footlab model makes USV Iaşi the favourite at 43%, against 25% for a draw and 32% for Paşcani. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win USV Iaşi vs Paşcani?
A very open match: only 14 Elo points separate USV Iaşi (1,380) and Paşcani (1,394).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, USV Iaşi have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Paşcani have 9, 1 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 19, 2026 | Sporting Lieşti(home) | 1-2 | Cupa României |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Cetatea Suceava(home) | 1-0 | Cupa României |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Bradul Putna(away) | 2-1 | Cupa României |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Stiinta Miroslava(home) | 1-0 | Cupa României |
| May 16, 2026 | FC Bacău II(home) | 2-1 | Liga III - Serie 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 13, 2025 | Soimii Gura Humorului(home) | 1-2 | Cupa României |
| Aug 6, 2025 | Stiinta Miroslava(home) | 4-1 | Cupa României |
| Jul 30, 2025 | USV Iaşi(home) | 5-2 | Cupa României |
| Jul 19, 2025 | Răuceşti(away) | 4-0 | Cupa României |
| Sep 10, 2024 | Politehnica Iasi(home) | 0-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 USV Iaşi win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Paşcani win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 30, 2025 | Paşcani 5-2 USV Iaşi | Cupa României |
How many goals should we expect?
USV Iaşi score 1.5 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Paşcani score 2.5 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| USV Iaşi | 1.5 | 1.5 | 3 | 11/15 | 8/15 |
| Paşcani | 2.5 | 1.5 | 4 | 9/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | USV Iaşi | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 14 | 37 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for USV Iaşi vs Paşcani?
- The Footlab model makes USV Iaşi the favourite at 43%, against 25% for a draw and 32% for Paşcani.
- Where and when is USV Iaşi vs Paşcani played?
- USV Iaşi vs Paşcani is played on March 27, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadionul USV Iași, in the Liga III - Serie 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.