Aerostar Bacau vs Viitorul Onesti: prediction and stats
Liga III - Serie 1Group 1 - 9Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Stadionul Aerostar, Bacău
The Footlab model makes Aerostar Bacau the favourite at 38%, against 28% for a draw and 34% for Viitorul Onesti. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Aerostar Bacau vs Viitorul Onesti?
A very open match: only 48 Elo points separate Aerostar Bacau (1,365) and Viitorul Onesti (1,413).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Aerostar Bacau have 6 wins, 1 draws and 8 defeats; Viitorul Onesti have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 5, 2026 | Viitorul Onesti(home) | 0-1 | Cupa României |
| Jul 29, 2026 | CSM FC Vaslui(home) | 3-1 | Cupa României |
| May 16, 2026 | Bucovina Rădăuţi(home) | 2-1 | Liga III - Serie 1 |
| May 8, 2026 | Odorheiu Secuiesc(away) | 2-6 | Liga III - Serie 1 |
| May 1, 2026 | CSM FC Vaslui(home) | 3-0 | Liga III - Serie 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 12, 2026 | FC Bacau(home) | 0-3 | Cupa României |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Aerostar Bacau(away) | 1-0 | Cupa României |
| May 23, 2026 | Blejoi(home) | 0-2 | Liga III - Play-offs |
| May 16, 2026 | Sporting Lieşti(away) | 0-2 | Liga III - Play-offs |
| May 9, 2026 | Târgu Secuiesc(home) | 1-1 | Liga III - Play-offs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Aerostar Bacau win(s), 0 draw(s), 4 Viitorul Onesti win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 5, 2026 | Aerostar Bacau 0-1 Viitorul Onesti | Cupa României |
| Mar 28, 2026 | Aerostar Bacau 0-4 Viitorul Onesti | Liga III - Serie 1 |
| Nov 1, 2025 | Viitorul Onesti 2-0 Aerostar Bacau | Liga III - Serie 1 |
| Jul 30, 2025 | Viitorul Onesti 1-0 Aerostar Bacau | Cupa României |
| Dec 6, 2024 | Aerostar Bacau 4-3 Viitorul Onesti | Liga III - Serie 2 |
| Oct 5, 2024 | Viitorul Onesti 1-2 Aerostar Bacau | Liga III - Serie 2 |
Last archived meeting: Aerostar Bacau vs Viitorul Onesti on Aug 5, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Aerostar Bacau score 1.7 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Viitorul Onesti score 0.9 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aerostar Bacau | 1.7 | 2.1 | 1 | 10/15 | 12/15 |
| Viitorul Onesti | 0.9 | 1.1 | 6 | 3/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Aerostar Bacau sit 5th in Liga III - Serie 1 (35 points from 7 matches) and Viitorul Onesti sit 3rd (36 points from 22 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Viitorul Onesti | 22 | 10 | 6 | 6 | 34 | 22 | 36 |
| 5 | Aerostar Bacau | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 17 | 35 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Aerostar Bacau vs Viitorul Onesti?
- The Footlab model makes Aerostar Bacau the favourite at 38%, against 28% for a draw and 34% for Viitorul Onesti.
- Where and when is Aerostar Bacau vs Viitorul Onesti played?
- Aerostar Bacau vs Viitorul Onesti is played on October 17, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Stadionul Aerostar, in the Liga III - Serie 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.