CSM FC Vaslui vs CSM Adjud: prediction and stats
Liga III - Serie 1Group 1 - 9Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Stadionul Municipal, Vaslui
The Footlab model makes CSM FC Vaslui the favourite at 49%, against 28% for a draw and 23% for CSM Adjud. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win CSM FC Vaslui vs CSM Adjud?
A very open match: only 70 Elo points separate CSM FC Vaslui (1,449) and CSM Adjud (1,379).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, CSM FC Vaslui have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; CSM Adjud have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 29, 2026 | Aerostar Bacau(away) | 1-3 | Cupa României |
| May 16, 2026 | CSM Adjud(away) | 0-1 | Liga III - Serie 1 |
| May 9, 2026 | Gheorgheni(home) | 1-0 | Liga III - Serie 1 |
| May 1, 2026 | Aerostar Bacau(away) | 0-3 | Liga III - Serie 1 |
| Apr 25, 2026 | USV Iaşi(home) | 2-2 | Liga III - Serie 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 12, 2026 | Sporting Lieşti(home) | 2-4 | Cupa României |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Târgu Secuiesc(home) | 2-1 | Cupa României |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Râmnicu Sărat(away) | 3-0 | Cupa României |
| May 16, 2026 | CSM FC Vaslui(home) | 1-0 | Liga III - Serie 1 |
| May 8, 2026 | FC Bacău II(away) | 2-1 | Liga III - Serie 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 0 CSM FC Vaslui win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 CSM Adjud win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 16, 2026 | CSM Adjud 1-0 CSM FC Vaslui | Liga III - Serie 1 |
| Mar 14, 2026 | CSM Adjud 1-1 CSM FC Vaslui | Liga III - Serie 1 |
| Oct 18, 2025 | CSM FC Vaslui 0-0 CSM Adjud | Liga III - Serie 1 |
Last archived meeting: CSM Adjud vs CSM FC Vaslui on May 16, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
CSM FC Vaslui score 1.2 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; CSM Adjud score 1.5 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 43% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CSM FC Vaslui | 1.2 | 1.3 | 4 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| CSM Adjud | 1.5 | 0.9 | 7 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
CSM FC Vaslui sit 1st in Liga III - Serie 1 (41 points from 7 matches) and CSM Adjud sit 6th (35 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CSM FC Vaslui | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 9 | 41 |
| 6 | CSM Adjud | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 5 | 35 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for CSM FC Vaslui vs CSM Adjud?
- The Footlab model makes CSM FC Vaslui the favourite at 49%, against 28% for a draw and 23% for CSM Adjud.
- Where and when is CSM FC Vaslui vs CSM Adjud played?
- CSM FC Vaslui vs CSM Adjud is played on October 17, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Stadionul Municipal, in the Liga III - Serie 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.