Paşcani vs Târgu Secuiesc: prediction and stats
Liga III - Serie 1Group 1 - 9Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Stadionul CFR, Paşcani
The Footlab model makes Paşcani the favourite at 39%, against 26% for a draw and 36% for Târgu Secuiesc. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Paşcani vs Târgu Secuiesc?
A very open match: only 98 Elo points separate Paşcani (1,395) and Târgu Secuiesc (1,493).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Paşcani have 9 wins, 1 draws and 5 defeats; Târgu Secuiesc have 5, 6 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 13, 2025 | Soimii Gura Humorului(home) | 1-2 | Cupa României |
| Aug 6, 2025 | Stiinta Miroslava(home) | 4-1 | Cupa României |
| Jul 30, 2025 | USV Iaşi(home) | 5-2 | Cupa României |
| Jul 19, 2025 | Răuceşti(away) | 4-0 | Cupa României |
| Sep 10, 2024 | Politehnica Iasi(home) | 0-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 5, 2026 | CSM Adjud(away) | 1-2 | Cupa României |
| Jul 25, 2026 | FC Bacau(away) | 0-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 23, 2026 | Soimii Gura Humorului(away) | 1-1 | Liga III - Play-offs |
| May 16, 2026 | Stiinta Miroslava(home) | 1-1 | Liga III - Play-offs |
| May 9, 2026 | Viitorul Onesti(away) | 1-1 | Liga III - Play-offs |
How many goals should we expect?
Paşcani score 2.5 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Târgu Secuiesc score 2.1 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paşcani | 2.5 | 1.5 | 4 | 9/15 | 12/15 |
| Târgu Secuiesc | 2.1 | 1.6 | 4 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Paşcani vs Târgu Secuiesc?
- The Footlab model makes Paşcani the favourite at 39%, against 26% for a draw and 36% for Târgu Secuiesc.
- Where and when is Paşcani vs Târgu Secuiesc played?
- Paşcani vs Târgu Secuiesc is played on October 17, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Stadionul CFR, in the Liga III - Serie 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.