Afan Lido vs Caerau (Ely): result 3-1 and analysis
FAW ChampionshipSouth - 2Kick-off on August 8, 2023 at 06:30 PM (UTC)Princess Margaret Way, Port Talbot / Porth Talbot, Neath Port Talbot
Full time
What was the result of Afan Lido vs Caerau (Ely)?
Afan Lido won 3-1 on August 8, 2023.
Goalscorers
- 41′?Caerau (Ely) (pen.)
- 66′?Afan Lido
- 77′L. McCreeshAfan Lido (pen.)
- 90′J. WebberAfan Lido
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Afan Lido have 7 wins, 1 draws and 7 defeats; Caerau (Ely) have 2, 3 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 4, 2023 | Penybont(away) | 1-1 | League Cup |
| Jul 28, 2023 | Abertillery Bluebirds(home) | 3-0 | FAW Championship |
| Jul 21, 2023 | Baglan Dragons(away) | 3-1 | League Cup |
| Apr 22, 2023 | Ynyshir Albions(away) | 1-2 | FAW Championship |
| Apr 18, 2023 | Taffs Well(away) | 0-2 | FAW Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 5, 2023 | Swansea City U21(away) | 1-3 | League Cup |
| Jul 29, 2023 | Abergavenny Town(home) | 4-0 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 14, 2021 | Brecon Corinthians(home) | 3-8 | Welsh Cup |
| Mar 7, 2020 | Cwmbran Celtic(home) | 1-2 | FAW Championship |
| Feb 8, 2020 | Cwmamman United FC(home) | 1-1 | FAW Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 2 Afan Lido win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Caerau (Ely) win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 14, 2019 | Afan Lido 2-1 Caerau (Ely) | FAW Championship |
| Aug 24, 2019 | Caerau (Ely) 0-2 Afan Lido | FAW Championship |
Last archived meeting: Afan Lido vs Caerau (Ely) on Dec 14, 2019
How many goals should we expect?
Afan Lido score 1.9 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Caerau (Ely) score 1.4 and concede 2.5.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Afan Lido | 1.9 | 1.9 | 2 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
| Caerau (Ely) | 1.4 | 2.5 | 2 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Afan Lido sit 8th in FAW Championship (6 points from 4 matches) and Caerau (Ely) sit 11th (4 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Afan Lido | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 6 |
| 11 | Caerau (Ely) | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 12 | 4 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy