Afan Lido vs Caerau (Ely): result 3-1 and analysis
FAW ChampionshipSouth - 2Kick-off on August 8, 2023 at 06:30 PM (UTC)Princess Margaret Way, Port Talbot / Porth Talbot, Neath Port Talbot
Full time
What was the result of Afan Lido vs Caerau (Ely)?
Afan Lido won 3-1 on August 8, 2023.
Goalscorers
- 41′?Caerau (Ely) (pen.)
- 66′?Afan Lido
- 77′L. McCreeshAfan Lido (pen.)
- 90′J. WebberAfan Lido
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Afan Lido have 7 wins, 1 draw and 7 defeats; Caerau (Ely) have 2, 3 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 4, 2023 | Penybont(away) | 1-1 | League Cup |
| Jul 28, 2023 | Abertillery Bluebirds(home) | 3-0 | FAW Championship |
| Jul 21, 2023 | Baglan Dragons(away) | 3-1 | League Cup |
| Apr 22, 2023 | Ynyshir Albions(away) | 1-2 | FAW Championship |
| Apr 18, 2023 | Taffs Well(away) | 0-2 | FAW Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 5, 2023 | Swansea City U21(away) | 1-3 | League Cup |
| Jul 29, 2023 | Abergavenny Town(home) | 4-0 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 14, 2021 | Brecon Corinthians(home) | 3-8 | Welsh Cup |
| Mar 7, 2020 | Cwmbran Celtic(home) | 1-2 | FAW Championship |
| Feb 8, 2020 | Cwmamman United FC(home) | 1-1 | FAW Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 2 Afan Lido wins, 0 draws, 0 Caerau (Ely) wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 14, 2019 | Afan Lido 2-1 Caerau (Ely) | FAW Championship |
| Aug 24, 2019 | Caerau (Ely) 0-2 Afan Lido | FAW Championship |
Last archived meeting: Afan Lido vs Caerau (Ely) on Dec 14, 2019
How many goals should we expect?
Afan Lido score 1.9 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Caerau (Ely) score 1.4 and concede 2.5.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Afan Lido | 1.9 | 1.9 | 2 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
| Caerau (Ely) | 1.4 | 2.5 | 2 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Afan Lido sit 10th in FAW Championship (12 points from 11 matches) and Caerau (Ely) sit 4th (19 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Caerau (Ely) | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 22 | 18 | 19 |
| 10 | Afan Lido | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 18 | 22 | 12 |
A question about Afan Lido vs Caerau (Ely)?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy