Where and when is Ynyshir Albions vs Afan Lido played?

Ynyshir Albions vs Afan Lido is played on December 5, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Ynyshir Oval, in the FAW Championship.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Ynyshir Albions vs Afan Lido: prediction and stats

FAW ChampionshipSouth - 17Kick-off on December 5, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Ynyshir Oval, Porth

Ynyshir Albions

Afan Lido

The Footlab model makes Ynyshir Albions the favourite at 46%, against 25% for a draw and 29% for Afan Lido. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Ynyshir Albions vs Afan Lido?

A very open match: only 48 Elo points separate Ynyshir Albions (1,450) and Afan Lido (1,498).

Ynyshir Albions win46 %

Draw25 %

Afan Lido win29 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ynyshir Albions have 3 wins, 6 draws and 6 defeats; Afan Lido have 8, 0 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Ynyshir Albions
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Caerphilly Athletic(away)	1-2	FAW Championship
Aug 7, 2026	Caerau (Ely)(away)	1-1	FAW Championship
Aug 1, 2026	Cardiff Draconians(home)	1-0	FAW Championship
Apr 18, 2026	Aberystwyth Town(home)	0-0	FAW Championship
Apr 4, 2026	Caerau (Ely)(away)	0-2	FAW Championship

Afan Lido
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 21, 2026	Pontardawe Town(home)	1-0	FAW Championship
Aug 14, 2026	Carmarthen Town(away)	1-3	FAW Championship
Aug 7, 2026	Llantwit Major(home)	5-0	FAW Championship
Aug 1, 2026	Aberystwyth Town(home)	2-5	FAW Championship
Apr 18, 2026	Cardiff Draconians(away)	1-4	FAW Championship

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Ynyshir Albions win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Afan Lido win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Dec 16, 2025	Afan Lido 0-2 Ynyshir Albions	FAW Championship
Sep 6, 2025	Ynyshir Albions 1-2 Afan Lido	FAW Championship
Apr 22, 2023	Ynyshir Albions 2-1 Afan Lido	FAW Championship
Dec 6, 2022	Afan Lido 1-0 Ynyshir Albions	FAW Championship

Last archived meeting: Afan Lido vs Ynyshir Albions on Dec 16, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Ynyshir Albions score 1.1 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Afan Lido score 1.7 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Ynyshir Albions	1.1	1.4	5	8/15	7/15
Afan Lido	1.7	1.7	5	7/15	9/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Ynyshir Albions sit 9th in FAW Championship (4 points from 3 matches) and Afan Lido sit 8th (6 points from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
8	Afan Lido	4	2	0	2	9	8	6
9	Ynyshir Albions	3	1	1	1	3	3	4

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Ynyshir Albions vs Afan Lido?: The Footlab model makes Ynyshir Albions the favourite at 46%, against 25% for a draw and 29% for Afan Lido.
Where and when is Ynyshir Albions vs Afan Lido played?: Ynyshir Albions vs Afan Lido is played on December 5, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Ynyshir Oval, in the FAW Championship.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.