Afan Lido vs Caerau (Ely): result 3-2 and analysis
FAW ChampionshipSouth - 12Kick-off on October 31, 2025 at 07:30 PM (UTC)Princess Margaret Way, Port Talbot / Porth Talbot, Neath Port Talbot
Full time
What was the result of Afan Lido vs Caerau (Ely)?
Afan Lido won 3-2 on October 31, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 8′635605Afan Lido
- 50′635606Afan Lido
- 55′L. GullickCaerau (Ely)
- 56′L. GullickCaerau (Ely)
- 76′L. GriffithsAfan Lido
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Afan Lido have 4 wins, 2 draws and 9 defeats; Caerau (Ely) have 10, 2 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2025 | Carmarthen Town(away) | 0-1 | FAW Championship |
| Oct 18, 2025 | Port Talbot Town(away) | 1-3 | Welsh Cup |
| Oct 10, 2025 | Baglan Dragons(home) | 1-1 | FAW Championship |
| Oct 4, 2025 | Trefelin(away) | 0-0 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 27, 2025 | Aberystwyth Town(home) | 0-1 | FAW Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 21, 2025 | Newport City(home) | 4-3 | FAW Championship |
| Oct 18, 2025 | Morriston Town(home) | 3-0 | Welsh Cup |
| Oct 10, 2025 | Cwmbran Celtic(away) | 2-0 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 27, 2025 | Treowen Stars(away) | 5-0 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 20, 2025 | Penydarren BGC(away) | 5-0 | Welsh Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Afan Lido win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Caerau (Ely) win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 22, 2024 | Caerau (Ely) 3-0 Afan Lido | FAW Championship |
| Sep 7, 2024 | Afan Lido 2-2 Caerau (Ely) | FAW Championship |
| Apr 1, 2024 | Caerau (Ely) 3-2 Afan Lido | FAW Championship |
| Oct 17, 2023 | Caerau (Ely) 4-1 Afan Lido | Welsh Cup |
| Aug 8, 2023 | Afan Lido 3-1 Caerau (Ely) | FAW Championship |
| Dec 14, 2019 | Afan Lido 2-1 Caerau (Ely) | FAW Championship |
Last archived meeting: Caerau (Ely) vs Afan Lido on Nov 22, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Afan Lido score 1.1 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Caerau (Ely) score 2.3 and concede 1.0.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Afan Lido | 1.1 | 2.1 | 1 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
| Caerau (Ely) | 2.3 | 1.0 | 8 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Afan Lido sit 8th in FAW Championship (6 points from 4 matches) and Caerau (Ely) sit 11th (4 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Afan Lido | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 6 |
| 11 | Caerau (Ely) | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 12 | 4 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 31, 2025Cwmbran Celtic0-1Baglan Dragons
- Nov 1, 2025Cambrian & Clydach5-2Cardiff Draconians
- Nov 1, 2025Ynyshir Albions0-2Carmarthen Town
- Nov 1, 2025Newport City0-0Ammanford AFC
- Nov 1, 2025Treowen Stars1-1Llantwit Major
- Nov 1, 2025Trethomas Bluebirds2-3Aberystwyth Town
- Nov 1, 2025Trefelin2-0Pontypridd Town