Afan Lido vs Caerau (Ely): result 3-2 and analysis
FAW ChampionshipSouth - 12Kick-off on October 31, 2025 at 07:30 PM (UTC)Princess Margaret Way, Port Talbot / Porth Talbot, Neath Port Talbot
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What was the result of Afan Lido vs Caerau (Ely)?
Afan Lido won 3-2 on October 31, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 8′635605Afan Lido
- 50′635606Afan Lido
- 55′L. GullickCaerau (Ely)
- 56′L. GullickCaerau (Ely)
- 76′L. GriffithsAfan Lido
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Afan Lido have 4 wins, 2 draws and 9 defeats; Caerau (Ely) have 10, 2 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2025 | Carmarthen Town(away) | 0-1 | FAW Championship |
| Oct 18, 2025 | Port Talbot Town(away) | 1-3 | Welsh Cup |
| Oct 10, 2025 | Baglan Dragons(home) | 1-1 | FAW Championship |
| Oct 4, 2025 | Trefelin(away) | 0-0 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 27, 2025 | Aberystwyth Town(home) | 0-1 | FAW Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 21, 2025 | Newport City(home) | 4-3 | FAW Championship |
| Oct 18, 2025 | Morriston Town(home) | 3-0 | Welsh Cup |
| Oct 10, 2025 | Cwmbran Celtic(away) | 2-0 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 27, 2025 | Treowen Stars(away) | 5-0 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 20, 2025 | Penydarren BGC(away) | 5-0 | Welsh Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Afan Lido wins, 1 draw, 3 Caerau (Ely) wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 22, 2024 | Caerau (Ely) 3-0 Afan Lido | FAW Championship |
| Sep 7, 2024 | Afan Lido 2-2 Caerau (Ely) | FAW Championship |
| Apr 1, 2024 | Caerau (Ely) 3-2 Afan Lido | FAW Championship |
| Oct 17, 2023 | Caerau (Ely) 4-1 Afan Lido | Welsh Cup |
| Aug 8, 2023 | Afan Lido 3-1 Caerau (Ely) | FAW Championship |
| Dec 14, 2019 | Afan Lido 2-1 Caerau (Ely) | FAW Championship |
Last archived meeting: Caerau (Ely) vs Afan Lido on Nov 22, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Afan Lido score 1.1 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Caerau (Ely) score 2.3 and concede 1.0.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Afan Lido | 1.1 | 2.1 | 1 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
| Caerau (Ely) | 2.3 | 1.0 | 8 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Afan Lido sit 10th in FAW Championship (12 points from 11 matches) and Caerau (Ely) sit 4th (19 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Caerau (Ely) | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 22 | 18 | 19 |
| 10 | Afan Lido | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 18 | 22 | 12 |
A question about Afan Lido vs Caerau (Ely)?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 31, 2025Cwmbran Celtic0-1Baglan Dragons
- Nov 1, 2025Cambrian & Clydach5-2Cardiff Draconians
- Nov 1, 2025Ynyshir Albions0-2Carmarthen Town
- Nov 1, 2025Newport City0-0Ammanford AFC
- Nov 1, 2025Treowen Stars1-1Llantwit Major
- Nov 1, 2025Trethomas Bluebirds2-3Aberystwyth Town
- Nov 1, 2025Trefelin2-0Pontypridd Town