Where and when is AFC Amsterdam vs Hoek played?

AFC Amsterdam vs Hoek is played on October 10, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Sportpark Goed Genoeg, in the Tweede Divisie.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

AFC Amsterdam vs Hoek: prediction and stats

Tweede DivisieRegular Season - 9Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Sportpark Goed Genoeg, Amsterdam

AFC Amsterdam

Hoek

The Footlab model makes Hoek the favourite at 48%, against 24% for a draw and 29% for AFC Amsterdam. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win AFC Amsterdam vs Hoek?

A very open match: only 83 Elo points separate AFC Amsterdam (1,876) and Hoek (1,959).

AFC Amsterdam win29 %

Draw24 %

Hoek win48 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, AFC Amsterdam have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Hoek have 6, 3 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

AFC Amsterdam
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	GVVV Veenendaal(away)	3-2	Tweede Divisie
Aug 15, 2026	Kloetinge(home)	1-3	Tweede Divisie
May 23, 2026	HHC(home)	2-3	Tweede Divisie
May 16, 2026	GVVV Veenendaal(away)	1-1	Tweede Divisie
May 9, 2026	Excelsior Maassluis(home)	3-2	Tweede Divisie

Hoek
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Katwijk(away)	1-1	Tweede Divisie
Aug 15, 2026	Koninklijke HFC(home)	3-1	Tweede Divisie
Jul 15, 2026	NAC Breda(home)	1-2	Friendlies Clubs
May 23, 2026	De Treffers(away)	2-2	Tweede Divisie
May 16, 2026	Rijnsburgse Boys(home)	2-0	Tweede Divisie

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 0 AFC Amsterdam win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Hoek win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Apr 18, 2026	AFC Amsterdam 1-5 Hoek	Tweede Divisie
Nov 15, 2025	Hoek 2-2 AFC Amsterdam	Tweede Divisie

Last archived meeting: AFC Amsterdam vs Hoek on Apr 18, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

AFC Amsterdam score 1.6 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Hoek score 1.9 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
AFC Amsterdam	1.6	1.9	2	11/15	10/15
Hoek	1.9	1.4	3	11/15	10/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

AFC Amsterdam sit 10th in Tweede Divisie (3 points from 2 matches) and Hoek sit 6th (4 points from 2 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
6	Hoek	2	1	1	0	4	2	4
10	AFC Amsterdam	2	1	0	1	4	5	3

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for AFC Amsterdam vs Hoek?: The Footlab model makes Hoek the favourite at 48%, against 24% for a draw and 29% for AFC Amsterdam.
Where and when is AFC Amsterdam vs Hoek played?: AFC Amsterdam vs Hoek is played on October 10, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Sportpark Goed Genoeg, in the Tweede Divisie.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.