Ijsselmeervogels vs Koninklijke HFC: prediction and stats
Tweede DivisieRegular Season - 9Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Sportpark De Westmaat (IJsselmeervogels), Bunschoten-Spakenburg
The Footlab model makes Ijsselmeervogels the favourite at 62%, against 22% for a draw and 16% for Koninklijke HFC. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ijsselmeervogels vs Koninklijke HFC?
A very open match: only 87 Elo points separate Ijsselmeervogels (1,852) and Koninklijke HFC (1,765).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ijsselmeervogels have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Koninklijke HFC have 5, 0 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Quick Boys(home) | 0-1 | Tweede Divisie |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Kozakken Boys(away) | 2-1 | Tweede Divisie |
| Aug 8, 2026 | EVV(home) | 10-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Jong AZ(home) | 1-7 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jun 13, 2026 | Excelsior Maassluis(home) | 1-0 | Tweede Divisie |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Barendrecht(home) | 1-2 | Tweede Divisie |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Hoek(away) | 1-3 | Tweede Divisie |
| Aug 8, 2026 | ADO '20(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 23, 2026 | Spakenburg(home) | 3-2 | Tweede Divisie |
| May 16, 2026 | ACV(away) | 0-1 | Tweede Divisie |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Ijsselmeervogels win(s), 0 draw(s), 4 Koninklijke HFC win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2026 | Koninklijke HFC 1-0 Ijsselmeervogels | Tweede Divisie |
| Oct 4, 2025 | Ijsselmeervogels 3-0 Koninklijke HFC | Tweede Divisie |
| Mar 25, 2023 | Ijsselmeervogels 2-3 Koninklijke HFC | Tweede Divisie |
| Oct 1, 2022 | Koninklijke HFC 2-0 Ijsselmeervogels | Tweede Divisie |
| Apr 5, 2022 | Ijsselmeervogels 1-0 Koninklijke HFC | Tweede Divisie |
| Sep 18, 2021 | Koninklijke HFC 4-1 Ijsselmeervogels | Tweede Divisie |
Last archived meeting: Koninklijke HFC vs Ijsselmeervogels on Mar 7, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Ijsselmeervogels score 2.3 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Koninklijke HFC score 0.9 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ijsselmeervogels | 2.3 | 1.6 | 6 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
| Koninklijke HFC | 0.9 | 1.6 | 3 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ijsselmeervogels sit 8th in Tweede Divisie (3 points from 2 matches) and Koninklijke HFC sit 15th (0 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Ijsselmeervogels | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
| 15 | Koninklijke HFC | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ijsselmeervogels vs Koninklijke HFC?
- The Footlab model makes Ijsselmeervogels the favourite at 62%, against 22% for a draw and 16% for Koninklijke HFC.
- Where and when is Ijsselmeervogels vs Koninklijke HFC played?
- Ijsselmeervogels vs Koninklijke HFC is played on October 10, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Sportpark De Westmaat (IJsselmeervogels), in the Tweede Divisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.