Match

Kozakken Boys vs Spakenburg: prediction and stats

Tweede DivisieRegular Season - 9Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Sportpark De Zwaaier, Werkendam

Kozakken BoysSpakenburg

The Footlab model makes Spakenburg the favourite at 40%, against 24% for a draw and 36% for Kozakken Boys. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Kozakken Boys vs Spakenburg?

Spakenburg starts as the favourite with a 107-point Elo edge (1,903 vs 1,796).

Kozakken Boys win36 %
Draw24 %
Spakenburg win40 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kozakken Boys have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Spakenburg have 8, 3 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Kozakken Boys
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Kloetinge(away)3-3Tweede Divisie
Aug 15, 2026Ijsselmeervogels(home)1-2Tweede Divisie
Jul 11, 2026Waalwijk(home)0-0Friendlies Clubs
May 23, 2026Quick Boys(home)1-2Tweede Divisie
May 16, 2026HHC(away)3-3Tweede Divisie
Spakenburg
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026RKAV Volendam(away)1-2Tweede Divisie
Aug 15, 2026Katwijk(home)1-0Tweede Divisie
May 23, 2026Koninklijke HFC(away)2-3Tweede Divisie
May 16, 2026Katwijk(home)2-1Tweede Divisie
May 9, 2026De Treffers(away)0-0Tweede Divisie

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Kozakken Boys win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Spakenburg win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Mar 21, 2026Spakenburg 3-4 Kozakken BoysTweede Divisie
Oct 18, 2025Kozakken Boys 1-2 SpakenburgTweede Divisie
Apr 13, 2024Kozakken Boys 0-3 SpakenburgTweede Divisie
Nov 11, 2023Spakenburg 3-1 Kozakken BoysTweede Divisie
Jan 28, 2023Spakenburg 1-1 Kozakken BoysTweede Divisie
Sep 3, 2022Kozakken Boys 5-5 SpakenburgTweede Divisie

Last archived meeting: Spakenburg vs Kozakken Boys on Mar 21, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Kozakken Boys score 1.6 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Spakenburg score 1.8 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Kozakken Boys1.61.8211/1511/15
Spakenburg1.81.359/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Kozakken Boys sit 13th in Tweede Divisie (1 points from 2 matches) and Spakenburg sit 9th (3 points from 2 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
9Spakenburg2101223
13Kozakken Boys2011451

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Kozakken Boys vs Spakenburg?
The Footlab model makes Spakenburg the favourite at 40%, against 24% for a draw and 36% for Kozakken Boys.
Where and when is Kozakken Boys vs Spakenburg played?
Kozakken Boys vs Spakenburg is played on October 10, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Sportpark De Zwaaier, in the Tweede Divisie.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Kozakken Boys and Spakenburg

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