Kozakken Boys vs Spakenburg: prediction and stats
Tweede DivisieRegular Season - 9Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Sportpark De Zwaaier, Werkendam
The Footlab model makes Spakenburg the favourite at 40%, against 24% for a draw and 36% for Kozakken Boys. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Kozakken Boys vs Spakenburg?
Spakenburg starts as the favourite with a 107-point Elo edge (1,903 vs 1,796).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kozakken Boys have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Spakenburg have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Kloetinge(away) | 3-3 | Tweede Divisie |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Ijsselmeervogels(home) | 1-2 | Tweede Divisie |
| Jul 11, 2026 | Waalwijk(home) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 23, 2026 | Quick Boys(home) | 1-2 | Tweede Divisie |
| May 16, 2026 | HHC(away) | 3-3 | Tweede Divisie |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | RKAV Volendam(away) | 1-2 | Tweede Divisie |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Katwijk(home) | 1-0 | Tweede Divisie |
| May 23, 2026 | Koninklijke HFC(away) | 2-3 | Tweede Divisie |
| May 16, 2026 | Katwijk(home) | 2-1 | Tweede Divisie |
| May 9, 2026 | De Treffers(away) | 0-0 | Tweede Divisie |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Kozakken Boys win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Spakenburg win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2026 | Spakenburg 3-4 Kozakken Boys | Tweede Divisie |
| Oct 18, 2025 | Kozakken Boys 1-2 Spakenburg | Tweede Divisie |
| Apr 13, 2024 | Kozakken Boys 0-3 Spakenburg | Tweede Divisie |
| Nov 11, 2023 | Spakenburg 3-1 Kozakken Boys | Tweede Divisie |
| Jan 28, 2023 | Spakenburg 1-1 Kozakken Boys | Tweede Divisie |
| Sep 3, 2022 | Kozakken Boys 5-5 Spakenburg | Tweede Divisie |
Last archived meeting: Spakenburg vs Kozakken Boys on Mar 21, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Kozakken Boys score 1.6 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Spakenburg score 1.8 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kozakken Boys | 1.6 | 1.8 | 2 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
| Spakenburg | 1.8 | 1.3 | 5 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Kozakken Boys sit 13th in Tweede Divisie (1 points from 2 matches) and Spakenburg sit 9th (3 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Spakenburg | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
| 13 | Kozakken Boys | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Kozakken Boys vs Spakenburg?
- The Footlab model makes Spakenburg the favourite at 40%, against 24% for a draw and 36% for Kozakken Boys.
- Where and when is Kozakken Boys vs Spakenburg played?
- Kozakken Boys vs Spakenburg is played on October 10, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Sportpark De Zwaaier, in the Tweede Divisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 10, 2026AFC AmsterdamvsHoek
- Oct 10, 2026GVVV VeenendaalvsRijnsburgse Boys
- Oct 10, 2026Quick BoysvsKatwijk
- Oct 10, 2026De TreffersvsBarendrecht
- Oct 10, 2026IjsselmeervogelsvsKoninklijke HFC
- Oct 10, 2026KloetingevsHHC
- Oct 10, 2026ROHDA RaaltevsRKAV Volendam
- Oct 10, 2026Sparta Rotterdam IIvsAlmere City II