Match

AFC Amsterdam vs Katwijk: prediction and stats

Tweede DivisieRegular Season - 7Kick-off on September 26, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Sportpark Goed Genoeg, Amsterdam

AFC AmsterdamKatwijk

The Footlab model makes AFC Amsterdam the favourite at 39%, against 25% for a draw and 36% for Katwijk. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win AFC Amsterdam vs Katwijk?

A very open match: only 27 Elo points separate AFC Amsterdam (1,876) and Katwijk (1,903).

AFC Amsterdam win39 %
Draw25 %
Katwijk win36 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, AFC Amsterdam have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Katwijk have 8, 2 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

AFC Amsterdam
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026GVVV Veenendaal(away)3-2Tweede Divisie
Aug 15, 2026Kloetinge(home)1-3Tweede Divisie
May 23, 2026HHC(home)2-3Tweede Divisie
May 16, 2026GVVV Veenendaal(away)1-1Tweede Divisie
May 9, 2026Excelsior Maassluis(home)3-2Tweede Divisie
Katwijk
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Hoek(home)1-1Tweede Divisie
Aug 15, 2026Spakenburg(away)0-1Tweede Divisie
May 23, 2026Sparta Rotterdam II(home)4-1Tweede Divisie
May 16, 2026Spakenburg(away)1-2Tweede Divisie
May 9, 2026Koninklijke HFC(home)4-0Tweede Divisie

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 AFC Amsterdam win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Katwijk win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Mar 14, 2026AFC Amsterdam 2-2 KatwijkTweede Divisie
Oct 11, 2025Katwijk 0-1 AFC AmsterdamTweede Divisie
Jan 18, 2025AFC Amsterdam 1-4 KatwijkTweede Divisie
Aug 24, 2024Katwijk 0-1 AFC AmsterdamTweede Divisie
Apr 20, 2024AFC Amsterdam 3-2 KatwijkTweede Divisie
Nov 18, 2023Katwijk 2-0 AFC AmsterdamTweede Divisie

Last archived meeting: AFC Amsterdam vs Katwijk on Mar 14, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

AFC Amsterdam score 1.6 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Katwijk score 2.1 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
AFC Amsterdam1.61.9211/1510/15
Katwijk2.11.6211/1512/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

AFC Amsterdam sit 10th in Tweede Divisie (3 points from 2 matches) and Katwijk sit 14th (1 points from 2 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
10AFC Amsterdam2101453
14Katwijk2011121

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for AFC Amsterdam vs Katwijk?
The Footlab model makes AFC Amsterdam the favourite at 39%, against 25% for a draw and 36% for Katwijk.
Where and when is AFC Amsterdam vs Katwijk played?
AFC Amsterdam vs Katwijk is played on September 26, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Sportpark Goed Genoeg, in the Tweede Divisie.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: AFC Amsterdam and Katwijk

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