AFC Amsterdam vs Katwijk: prediction and stats
Tweede DivisieRegular Season - 7Kick-off on September 26, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Sportpark Goed Genoeg, Amsterdam
The Footlab model makes AFC Amsterdam the favourite at 39%, against 25% for a draw and 36% for Katwijk. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win AFC Amsterdam vs Katwijk?
A very open match: only 27 Elo points separate AFC Amsterdam (1,876) and Katwijk (1,903).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, AFC Amsterdam have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Katwijk have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | GVVV Veenendaal(away) | 3-2 | Tweede Divisie |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Kloetinge(home) | 1-3 | Tweede Divisie |
| May 23, 2026 | HHC(home) | 2-3 | Tweede Divisie |
| May 16, 2026 | GVVV Veenendaal(away) | 1-1 | Tweede Divisie |
| May 9, 2026 | Excelsior Maassluis(home) | 3-2 | Tweede Divisie |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Hoek(home) | 1-1 | Tweede Divisie |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Spakenburg(away) | 0-1 | Tweede Divisie |
| May 23, 2026 | Sparta Rotterdam II(home) | 4-1 | Tweede Divisie |
| May 16, 2026 | Spakenburg(away) | 1-2 | Tweede Divisie |
| May 9, 2026 | Koninklijke HFC(home) | 4-0 | Tweede Divisie |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 AFC Amsterdam win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Katwijk win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2026 | AFC Amsterdam 2-2 Katwijk | Tweede Divisie |
| Oct 11, 2025 | Katwijk 0-1 AFC Amsterdam | Tweede Divisie |
| Jan 18, 2025 | AFC Amsterdam 1-4 Katwijk | Tweede Divisie |
| Aug 24, 2024 | Katwijk 0-1 AFC Amsterdam | Tweede Divisie |
| Apr 20, 2024 | AFC Amsterdam 3-2 Katwijk | Tweede Divisie |
| Nov 18, 2023 | Katwijk 2-0 AFC Amsterdam | Tweede Divisie |
Last archived meeting: AFC Amsterdam vs Katwijk on Mar 14, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
AFC Amsterdam score 1.6 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Katwijk score 2.1 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AFC Amsterdam | 1.6 | 1.9 | 2 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
| Katwijk | 2.1 | 1.6 | 2 | 11/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
AFC Amsterdam sit 10th in Tweede Divisie (3 points from 2 matches) and Katwijk sit 14th (1 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | AFC Amsterdam | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 3 |
| 14 | Katwijk | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for AFC Amsterdam vs Katwijk?
- The Footlab model makes AFC Amsterdam the favourite at 39%, against 25% for a draw and 36% for Katwijk.
- Where and when is AFC Amsterdam vs Katwijk played?
- AFC Amsterdam vs Katwijk is played on September 26, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Sportpark Goed Genoeg, in the Tweede Divisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 26, 2026Kozakken BoysvsKoninklijke HFC
- Sep 26, 2026GVVV VeenendaalvsRKAV Volendam
- Sep 26, 2026Quick BoysvsHHC
- Sep 26, 2026De TreffersvsSpakenburg
- Sep 26, 2026IjsselmeervogelsvsRijnsburgse Boys
- Sep 26, 2026KloetingevsROHDA Raalte
- Sep 26, 2026Almere City IIvsBarendrecht
- Sep 26, 2026Sparta Rotterdam IIvsHoek