Katwijk vs Koninklijke HFC: prediction and stats
Tweede DivisieRegular Season - 16Kick-off on December 5, 2026 at 02:30 PM (UTC)Sportpark de Krom, Katwijk
The Footlab model makes Katwijk the favourite at 63%, against 21% for a draw and 15% for Koninklijke HFC. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Katwijk vs Koninklijke HFC?
Katwijk starts as the favourite with a 125-point Elo edge (1,890 vs 1,765).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Katwijk have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Koninklijke HFC have 5, 0 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Hoek(home) | 1-1 | Tweede Divisie |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Spakenburg(away) | 0-1 | Tweede Divisie |
| May 23, 2026 | Sparta Rotterdam II(home) | 4-1 | Tweede Divisie |
| May 16, 2026 | Spakenburg(away) | 1-2 | Tweede Divisie |
| May 9, 2026 | Koninklijke HFC(home) | 4-0 | Tweede Divisie |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Barendrecht(home) | 1-2 | Tweede Divisie |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Hoek(away) | 1-3 | Tweede Divisie |
| Aug 8, 2026 | ADO '20(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 23, 2026 | Spakenburg(home) | 3-2 | Tweede Divisie |
| May 16, 2026 | ACV(away) | 0-1 | Tweede Divisie |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Katwijk win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Koninklijke HFC win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 9, 2026 | Katwijk 4-0 Koninklijke HFC | Tweede Divisie |
| Nov 29, 2025 | Koninklijke HFC 0-2 Katwijk | Tweede Divisie |
| Jul 26, 2025 | Katwijk 0-0 Koninklijke HFC | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jan 25, 2025 | Katwijk 0-1 Koninklijke HFC | Tweede Divisie |
| Aug 31, 2024 | Koninklijke HFC 0-0 Katwijk | Tweede Divisie |
| Apr 13, 2024 | Katwijk 3-1 Koninklijke HFC | Tweede Divisie |
Last archived meeting: Katwijk vs Koninklijke HFC on May 9, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Katwijk score 2.1 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Koninklijke HFC score 0.9 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Katwijk | 2.1 | 1.6 | 2 | 11/15 | 12/15 |
| Koninklijke HFC | 0.9 | 1.6 | 3 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Katwijk sit 14th in Tweede Divisie (1 points from 2 matches) and Koninklijke HFC sit 15th (0 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Katwijk | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
| 15 | Koninklijke HFC | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Katwijk vs Koninklijke HFC?
- The Footlab model makes Katwijk the favourite at 63%, against 21% for a draw and 15% for Koninklijke HFC.
- Where and when is Katwijk vs Koninklijke HFC played?
- Katwijk vs Koninklijke HFC is played on December 5, 2026 at 02:30 PM (UTC) at Sportpark de Krom, in the Tweede Divisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.