Match

Sparta Rotterdam II vs Hoek: prediction and stats

Tweede DivisieRegular Season - 7Kick-off on September 26, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Sportpark Dijkpolder, Maassluis

Sparta Rotterdam IIHoek

The Footlab model makes Sparta Rotterdam II the favourite at 40%, against 21% for a draw and 39% for Hoek. The most likely score is 2-2.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Sparta Rotterdam II vs Hoek?

A very open match: only 85 Elo points separate Sparta Rotterdam II (1,861) and Hoek (1,945).

Sparta Rotterdam II win40 %
Draw21 %
Hoek win39 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sparta Rotterdam II have 7 wins, 1 draws and 7 defeats; Hoek have 6, 3 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Sparta Rotterdam II
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Rijnsburgse Boys(away)6-3Tweede Divisie
Aug 15, 2026ROHDA Raalte(home)6-1Tweede Divisie
Aug 8, 2026Excelsior Maassluis(away)2-4Friendlies Clubs
Jul 25, 2026Jong AZ(home)2-3Friendlies Clubs
Jun 10, 2026Groningen U21(home)3-2Tweede Divisie
Hoek
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Katwijk(away)1-1Tweede Divisie
Aug 15, 2026Koninklijke HFC(home)3-1Tweede Divisie
Jul 15, 2026NAC Breda(home)1-2Friendlies Clubs
May 23, 2026De Treffers(away)2-2Tweede Divisie
May 16, 2026Rijnsburgse Boys(home)2-0Tweede Divisie

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Sparta Rotterdam II win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Hoek win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Jan 31, 2026Sparta Rotterdam II 1-4 HoekTweede Divisie
Sep 6, 2025Hoek 0-0 Sparta Rotterdam IITweede Divisie

Last archived meeting: Sparta Rotterdam II vs Hoek on Jan 31, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Sparta Rotterdam II score 2.7 and concede 2.4 goals per match over their last 15; Hoek score 1.9 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 79% probability of over 2.5 goals and 77% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Sparta Rotterdam II2.72.4212/1514/15
Hoek1.91.4311/1510/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Sparta Rotterdam II sit 1st in Tweede Divisie (6 points from 2 matches) and Hoek sit 6th (4 points from 2 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
1Sparta Rotterdam II22001246
6Hoek2110424

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Sparta Rotterdam II vs Hoek?
The Footlab model makes Sparta Rotterdam II the favourite at 40%, against 21% for a draw and 39% for Hoek.
Where and when is Sparta Rotterdam II vs Hoek played?
Sparta Rotterdam II vs Hoek is played on September 26, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Sportpark Dijkpolder, in the Tweede Divisie.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 79% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Sparta Rotterdam II and Hoek

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