AFC Bournemouth U21 vs Middlesbrough U21: prediction and stats
Premier League 2 Division OneRegular SeasonKick-off on August 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)AFC Bournemouth Performance Centre, Bournemouth, Dorset
The Footlab model makes AFC Bournemouth U21 the favourite at 45%, against 23% for a draw and 32% for Middlesbrough U21. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win AFC Bournemouth U21 vs Middlesbrough U21?
A very open match: only 13 Elo points separate AFC Bournemouth U21 (1,844) and Middlesbrough U21 (1,831).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, AFC Bournemouth U21 have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Middlesbrough U21 have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Chelsea U21(home) | 2-1 | Premier League 2 Division One |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Cardiff City U21(away) | 1-4 | Premier League Cup |
| Jul 10, 2026 | Worthing(home) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 4, 2026 | Huddersfield Town U21(away) | 1-4 | Professional Development League |
| Apr 24, 2026 | Wolves U21(home) | 1-0 | Professional Development League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Norwich City U21(home) | 0-1 | Premier League 2 Division One |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Solihull Moors(away) | 3-1 | National League Cup |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Hartlepool(away) | 10-0 | National League Cup |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Chelsea U21(away) | 0-1 | Premier League 2 Division One |
| Apr 10, 2026 | Aston Villa U21(away) | 2-0 | Premier League 2 Division One |
How many goals should we expect?
AFC Bournemouth U21 score 2.3 and concede 2.2 goals per match over their last 15; Middlesbrough U21 score 2.5 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 70% probability of over 2.5 goals and 70% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AFC Bournemouth U21 | 2.3 | 2.2 | 3 | 11/15 | 12/15 |
| Middlesbrough U21 | 2.5 | 1.2 | 3 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
AFC Bournemouth U21 sit 5th in Premier League 2 Division One (3 points from 1 matches) and Middlesbrough U21 sit 31st (0 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | AFC Bournemouth U21 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 31 | Middlesbrough U21 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for AFC Bournemouth U21 vs Middlesbrough U21?
- The Footlab model makes AFC Bournemouth U21 the favourite at 45%, against 23% for a draw and 32% for Middlesbrough U21.
- Where and when is AFC Bournemouth U21 vs Middlesbrough U21 played?
- AFC Bournemouth U21 vs Middlesbrough U21 is played on August 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at AFC Bournemouth Performance Centre, in the Premier League 2 Division One.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 70% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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