Match

Tamworth vs Middlesbrough U21: prediction and stats

National League CupGroup StageKick-off on September 9, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC)The Lamb Ground, Tamworth, Staffordshire

TamworthMiddlesbrough U21

The Footlab model makes Tamworth the favourite at 39%, against 23% for a draw and 38% for Middlesbrough U21. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Tamworth vs Middlesbrough U21?

A very open match: only 30 Elo points separate Tamworth (1,790) and Middlesbrough U21 (1,820).

Tamworth win39 %
Draw23 %
Middlesbrough U21 win38 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Tamworth have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Middlesbrough U21 have 7, 3 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Tamworth
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026FC Halifax Town(away)1-4National League
Aug 18, 2026Newcastle United U21(home)5-3National League Cup
Aug 15, 2026AFC Fylde(home)1-2National League
Aug 8, 2026Boreham Wood(away)3-3National League
Aug 1, 2026AFC Telford United(away)3-1Friendlies Clubs
Middlesbrough U21
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Norwich City U21(home)0-1Premier League 2 Division One
Aug 18, 2026Solihull Moors(away)3-1National League Cup
Aug 11, 2026Hartlepool(away)10-0National League Cup
Apr 25, 2026Chelsea U21(away)0-1Premier League 2 Division One
Apr 10, 2026Aston Villa U21(away)2-0Premier League 2 Division One

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Tamworth win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Middlesbrough U21 win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Jan 28, 2025Tamworth 0-2 Middlesbrough U21National League Cup

Last archived meeting: Tamworth vs Middlesbrough U21 on Jan 28, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Tamworth score 2.0 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Middlesbrough U21 score 2.5 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 69% probability of over 2.5 goals and 69% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Tamworth2.01.6212/1510/15
Middlesbrough U212.51.239/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Tamworth vs Middlesbrough U21?
The Footlab model makes Tamworth the favourite at 39%, against 23% for a draw and 38% for Middlesbrough U21.
Where and when is Tamworth vs Middlesbrough U21 played?
Tamworth vs Middlesbrough U21 is played on September 9, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC) at The Lamb Ground, in the National League Cup.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 69% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Tamworth and Middlesbrough U21

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