Where and when is AFC Bournemouth U21 vs Stoke City U21 played?

AFC Bournemouth U21 vs Stoke City U21 is played on September 21, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at AFC Bournemouth Performance Centre, in the Premier League 2 Division One.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 74% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

AFC Bournemouth U21 vs Stoke City U21: prediction and stats

Premier League 2 Division OneRegular SeasonKick-off on September 21, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC)AFC Bournemouth Performance Centre, Bournemouth, Dorset

AFC Bournemouth U21

Stoke City U21

The Footlab model makes AFC Bournemouth U21 the favourite at 66%, against 18% for a draw and 16% for Stoke City U21. The most likely score is 2-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win AFC Bournemouth U21 vs Stoke City U21?

AFC Bournemouth U21 starts as the favourite with a 209-point Elo edge (1,844 vs 1,635).

AFC Bournemouth U21 win66 %

Draw18 %

Stoke City U21 win16 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, AFC Bournemouth U21 have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Stoke City U21 have 3, 1 and 11.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

AFC Bournemouth U21
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 21, 2026	Chelsea U21(home)	2-1	Premier League 2 Division One
Aug 14, 2026	Cardiff City U21(away)	1-4	Premier League Cup
Jul 10, 2026	Worthing(home)	2-2	Friendlies Clubs
May 4, 2026	Huddersfield Town U21(away)	1-4	Professional Development League
Apr 24, 2026	Wolves U21(home)	1-0	Professional Development League

Stoke City U21
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 21, 2026	Brentford U21(home)	2-3	Premier League 2 Division One
Aug 18, 2026	Scunthorpe(away)	0-4	National League Cup
Aug 14, 2026	Leeds United U21(home)	0-0	Premier League Cup
Jul 21, 2026	Chester(away)	1-0	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 18, 2026	Tamworth(away)	1-3	Friendlies Clubs

How many goals should we expect?

AFC Bournemouth U21 score 2.3 and concede 2.2 goals per match over their last 15; Stoke City U21 score 0.9 and concede 2.6. The model gives a 74% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
AFC Bournemouth U21	2.3	2.2	3	11/15	12/15
Stoke City U21	0.9	2.6	3	8/15	11/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

AFC Bournemouth U21 sit 5th in Premier League 2 Division One (3 points from 1 matches) and Stoke City U21 sit 28th (0 points from 1 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
5	AFC Bournemouth U21	1	1	0	0	2	1	3
28	Stoke City U21	1	0	0	1	2	3	0

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for AFC Bournemouth U21 vs Stoke City U21?: The Footlab model makes AFC Bournemouth U21 the favourite at 66%, against 18% for a draw and 16% for Stoke City U21.
Where and when is AFC Bournemouth U21 vs Stoke City U21 played?: AFC Bournemouth U21 vs Stoke City U21 is played on September 21, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at AFC Bournemouth Performance Centre, in the Premier League 2 Division One.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 74% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.