AFC Fylde vs Forest Green: prediction and stats
National LeagueRegular Season - 4Kick-off on August 28, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC)Mill Farm Stadium, Wesham
The Footlab model makes AFC Fylde the favourite at 50%, against 24% for a draw and 26% for Forest Green. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win AFC Fylde vs Forest Green?
A very open match: only 66 Elo points separate AFC Fylde (1,919) and Forest Green (1,854).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, AFC Fylde have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Forest Green have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Woking(away) | 2-3 | National League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Tamworth(away) | 2-1 | National League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Wealdstone(home) | 2-2 | National League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Rylands(away) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Morecambe(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Boreham Wood(home) | 0-3 | National League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Worthing(away) | 2-1 | National League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | FC Halifax Town(home) | 3-2 | National League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Swindon Town(home) | 1-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Bristol City(home) | 3-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 AFC Fylde win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Forest Green win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2025 | AFC Fylde 3-0 Forest Green | National League |
| Sep 10, 2024 | Forest Green 3-0 AFC Fylde | National League |
Last archived meeting: AFC Fylde vs Forest Green on Mar 22, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
AFC Fylde score 1.9 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Forest Green score 2.1 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AFC Fylde | 1.9 | 1.7 | 2 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
| Forest Green | 2.1 | 1.7 | 2 | 11/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
AFC Fylde sit 13th in National League (4 points from 3 matches) and Forest Green sit 10th (6 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Forest Green | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 6 |
| 13 | AFC Fylde | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for AFC Fylde vs Forest Green?
- The Footlab model makes AFC Fylde the favourite at 50%, against 24% for a draw and 26% for Forest Green.
- Where and when is AFC Fylde vs Forest Green played?
- AFC Fylde vs Forest Green is played on August 28, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC) at Mill Farm Stadium, in the National League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.