AFC Hornchurch vs Bath City: result 3-2 and analysis
National League - SouthSouth - 12Kick-off on October 18, 2025 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Hornchurch Stadium, London
Full time
What was the result of AFC Hornchurch vs Bath City?
AFC Hornchurch won 3-2 on October 18, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 23′B. AshBath City
- 30′H. HearnAFC Hornchurch
- 49′C. RuffAFC Hornchurch
- 90′W. Jenkins-DaviesBath City (pen.)
- 90′D. McQueenAFC Hornchurch (pen.)
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, AFC Hornchurch have 8 wins, 5 draws and 2 defeats; Bath City have 3, 4 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 4, 2025 | Horsham(home) | 1-1 | National League - South |
| Sep 27, 2025 | Dover(home) | 0-0 | National League - South |
| Sep 20, 2025 | Slough Town(away) | 5-2 | National League - South |
| Sep 13, 2025 | Peterborough Sports(away) | 1-2 | FA Cup |
| Sep 6, 2025 | Ebbsfleet United(away) | 1-1 | National League - South |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 4, 2025 | Farnborough(away) | 2-2 | National League - South |
| Sep 20, 2025 | Chelmsford City(home) | 0-1 | National League - South |
| Sep 13, 2025 | Wimborne Town(away) | 1-2 | FA Cup |
| Sep 6, 2025 | Chesham United(away) | 0-0 | National League - South |
| Sep 2, 2025 | Maidenhead(home) | 0-4 | National League - South |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 AFC Hornchurch win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Bath City win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 8, 2025 | Bath City 0-2 AFC Hornchurch | National League - South |
| Oct 19, 2024 | AFC Hornchurch 0-0 Bath City | National League - South |
Last archived meeting: Bath City vs AFC Hornchurch on Feb 8, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
AFC Hornchurch score 2.1 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Bath City score 0.9 and concede 1.6.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AFC Hornchurch | 2.1 | 1.1 | 4 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
| Bath City | 0.9 | 1.6 | 4 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
AFC Hornchurch sit 2nd in National League - South (81 points from 46 matches) and Bath City sit 21st (43 points from 46 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | AFC Hornchurch | 46 | 23 | 12 | 11 | 81 | 64 | 81 |
| 21 | Bath City | 46 | 10 | 13 | 23 | 50 | 77 | 43 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 18, 2025Dagenham & Redbridge3-2Enfield Town
- Oct 18, 2025Maidenhead0-1Eastbourne Borough
- Oct 18, 2025Ebbsfleet United2-1Dorking Wanderers
- Oct 18, 2025Hampton & Richmond0-1Weston-super-Mare
- Oct 18, 2025Chelmsford City1-2Worthing
- Oct 18, 2025Chesham United1-0Torquay
- Oct 18, 2025AFC Totton2-1Hemel Hempstead Town
- Oct 18, 2025Farnborough0-2Maidstone Utd