AFC Hornchurch vs Maidstone Utd: result 5-4 and analysis
FA Trophy5th RoundKick-off on February 6, 2021 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Hornchurch Stadium, London
Full time
What was the result of AFC Hornchurch vs Maidstone Utd?
AFC Hornchurch won 5-4 on February 6, 2021.
Goalscorers
- 13′S. HigginsAFC Hornchurch
- 16′J. ChristouMaidstone Utd (o.g.)
- 29′G. PorterMaidstone Utd
- 41′Ronnie WinnAFC Hornchurch
- 58′S. HigginsAFC Hornchurch
- 59′G. PorterMaidstone Utd
- 65′J. EllulAFC Hornchurch (o.g.)
- 71′Scott David RendellMaidstone Utd
- 90′L. NashAFC Hornchurch
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, AFC Hornchurch have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; Maidstone Utd have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 16, 2021 | King's Lynn Town(home) | 1-1 | FA Trophy |
| Dec 19, 2020 | Dulwich Hamlet(away) | 2-1 | FA Trophy |
| Dec 15, 2020 | Tonbridge Angels(away) | 1-0 | FA Trophy |
| Dec 8, 2020 | Wingate & Finchley(home) | 4-1 | FA Trophy |
| Nov 3, 2020 | Folkestone Invicta(away) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 19, 2021 | Braintree(home) | 0-2 | National League - South |
| Jan 16, 2021 | Dorking Wanderers(home) | 2-1 | FA Trophy |
| Jan 12, 2021 | Eastbourne Borough(away) | 3-2 | National League - South |
| Jan 9, 2021 | Hungerford Town(away) | 1-2 | National League - South |
| Dec 19, 2020 | Poole Town(home) | 2-0 | FA Trophy |
How many goals should we expect?
AFC Hornchurch score 2.0 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Maidstone Utd score 1.9 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AFC Hornchurch | 2.0 | 1.1 | 4 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
| Maidstone Utd | 1.9 | 1.3 | 3 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy