Chelmsford City vs Maidstone Utd: prediction and stats
National League - SouthNational League South - 18Kick-off on November 23, 2026 at 07:45 PM (UTC)Melbourne Stadium, Chelmsford, Essex
The Footlab model makes Maidstone Utd the favourite at 39%, against 26% for a draw and 35% for Chelmsford City. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Chelmsford City vs Maidstone Utd?
A very open match: only 88 Elo points separate Chelmsford City (1,842) and Maidstone Utd (1,930).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Chelmsford City have 4 wins, 7 draws and 4 defeats; Maidstone Utd have 11, 2 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Folkestone Invicta(away) | 1-1 | National League - South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Truro City(home) | 0-0 | National League - South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Hemel Hempstead Town(away) | 1-1 | National League - South |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Eastbourne Borough(home) | 1-3 | National League - South |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Chesham United(away) | 2-0 | National League - South |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Dorking Wanderers(away) | 3-2 | National League - South |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Folkestone Invicta(home) | 1-1 | National League - South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Walton & Hersham(away) | 3-0 | National League - South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Farnborough(home) | 1-2 | National League - South |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Chatham Town(away) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Chelmsford City win(s), 3 draw(s), 2 Maidstone Utd win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 16, 2026 | Chelmsford City 1-1 Maidstone Utd | National League - South |
| Aug 25, 2025 | Maidstone Utd 0-0 Chelmsford City | National League - South |
| Jan 27, 2025 | Chelmsford City 0-0 Maidstone Utd | National League - South |
| Sep 3, 2024 | Maidstone Utd 1-5 Chelmsford City | National League - South |
| Mar 12, 2024 | Maidstone Utd 2-0 Chelmsford City | National League - South |
| Nov 20, 2023 | Chelmsford City 0-1 Maidstone Utd | National League - South |
Last archived meeting: Chelmsford City vs Maidstone Utd on Feb 16, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Chelmsford City score 1.5 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Maidstone Utd score 2.4 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chelmsford City | 1.5 | 1.4 | 5 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
| Maidstone Utd | 2.4 | 1.2 | 6 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Chelmsford City sit 17th in National League - South (3 points from 3 matches) and Maidstone Utd sit 5th (7 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Maidstone Utd | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 7 |
| 17 | Chelmsford City | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Chelmsford City vs Maidstone Utd?
- The Footlab model makes Maidstone Utd the favourite at 39%, against 26% for a draw and 35% for Chelmsford City.
- Where and when is Chelmsford City vs Maidstone Utd played?
- Chelmsford City vs Maidstone Utd is played on November 23, 2026 at 07:45 PM (UTC) at Melbourne Stadium, in the National League - South.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 24, 2026Dagenham & RedbridgevsTonbridge Angels
- Nov 24, 2026TorquayvsChesham United
- Nov 24, 2026Ebbsfleet UnitedvsBillericay Town
- Nov 24, 2026Hampton & RichmondvsDover
- Nov 24, 2026Slough TownvsFarnborough
- Nov 24, 2026Weston-super-MarevsWalton & Hersham
- Nov 24, 2026Folkestone InvictavsDorking Wanderers
- Nov 24, 2026HorshamvsTruro City