Match

Chelmsford City vs Maidstone Utd: prediction and stats

National League - SouthNational League South - 18Kick-off on November 23, 2026 at 07:45 PM (UTC)Melbourne Stadium, Chelmsford, Essex

Chelmsford CityMaidstone Utd

The Footlab model makes Maidstone Utd the favourite at 39%, against 26% for a draw and 35% for Chelmsford City. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Chelmsford City vs Maidstone Utd?

A very open match: only 88 Elo points separate Chelmsford City (1,842) and Maidstone Utd (1,930).

Chelmsford City win35 %
Draw26 %
Maidstone Utd win39 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Chelmsford City have 4 wins, 7 draws and 4 defeats; Maidstone Utd have 11, 2 and 2.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Chelmsford City
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Folkestone Invicta(away)1-1National League - South
Aug 15, 2026Truro City(home)0-0National League - South
Aug 8, 2026Hemel Hempstead Town(away)1-1National League - South
Apr 25, 2026Eastbourne Borough(home)1-3National League - South
Apr 18, 2026Chesham United(away)2-0National League - South
Maidstone Utd
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Dorking Wanderers(away)3-2National League - South
Aug 18, 2026Folkestone Invicta(home)1-1National League - South
Aug 15, 2026Walton & Hersham(away)3-0National League - South
Aug 8, 2026Farnborough(home)1-2National League - South
Aug 1, 2026Chatham Town(away)3-0Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Chelmsford City win(s), 3 draw(s), 2 Maidstone Utd win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Feb 16, 2026Chelmsford City 1-1 Maidstone UtdNational League - South
Aug 25, 2025Maidstone Utd 0-0 Chelmsford CityNational League - South
Jan 27, 2025Chelmsford City 0-0 Maidstone UtdNational League - South
Sep 3, 2024Maidstone Utd 1-5 Chelmsford CityNational League - South
Mar 12, 2024Maidstone Utd 2-0 Chelmsford CityNational League - South
Nov 20, 2023Chelmsford City 0-1 Maidstone UtdNational League - South

Last archived meeting: Chelmsford City vs Maidstone Utd on Feb 16, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Chelmsford City score 1.5 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Maidstone Utd score 2.4 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Chelmsford City1.51.459/156/15
Maidstone Utd2.41.269/1511/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Chelmsford City sit 17th in National League - South (3 points from 3 matches) and Maidstone Utd sit 5th (7 points from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
5Maidstone Utd4211857
17Chelmsford City3030223

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Chelmsford City vs Maidstone Utd?
The Footlab model makes Maidstone Utd the favourite at 39%, against 26% for a draw and 35% for Chelmsford City.
Where and when is Chelmsford City vs Maidstone Utd played?
Chelmsford City vs Maidstone Utd is played on November 23, 2026 at 07:45 PM (UTC) at Melbourne Stadium, in the National League - South.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Chelmsford City and Maidstone Utd

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