AFC Hornchurch vs Southend: prediction and stats
National LeagueMatchday 42Kick-off on March 29, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Hornchurch Stadium, London
The Footlab AI model makes AFC Hornchurch the favourite at 41%, against 24% for a draw and 35% for Southend. The most likely score is 1-1. If AFC Hornchurch wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 6,428 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win AFC Hornchurch vs Southend?
A very open match: only 83 Elo points separate AFC Hornchurch (2,024) and Southend (2,107).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for AFC Hornchurch vs Southend
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
AFC Hornchurch
3-4-3- 10Á. Balanta
- 30R. Loft
- 7J. Walker
- 14Charlie Pegrum
- 8T. Wraight
- 27Alfie Massey
- 18M. Weston
- 2W. Greenidge
- 6T. Dallison-Lisbon
- 5J. Baldwin
- 1A. Nasta
Southend
4-3-3- 14P. Omochere
- 24O. Patrick
- 17Zavier Massiah-Edwards
- 19L. Chambers-Parillon
- 4A. Hartigan
- 8D. Oldaker
- 2V. Campbell
- 3Kyle James McAdam
- 15A. Palmer
- 6B. Goodliffe
- 1J. Duncan
Computed on November 15, 2026 at 07:42 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, AFC Hornchurch have 6 wins, 1 draw and 8 defeats; Southend have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 14, 2026 | Tamworth(home) | 2-1 | National League |
| Nov 7, 2026 | Blackpool(home) | 1-2 | FA Cup |
| Nov 3, 2026 | West Ham United U21(home) | 2-0 | National League Cup |
| Oct 30, 2026 | AFC Fylde(away) | 1-3 | National League |
| Oct 27, 2026 | Yeovil Town(home) | 1-2 | National League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 14, 2026 | Aldershot Town(home) | 2-1 | National League |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Wealdstone(away) | 2-3 | National League |
| Oct 27, 2026 | Worthing(away) | 3-3 | National League |
| Oct 24, 2026 | FC Halifax Town(home) | 2-2 | National League |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Berkhamsted(home) | 1-2 | FA Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
AFC Hornchurch score 1.2 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Southend score 2.3 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 68% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AFC Hornchurch | 1.2 | 1.5 | 4 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
| Southend | 2.3 | 1.9 | 0 | 15/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
AFC Hornchurch sit 12th in National League (24 points from 17 matches) and Southend sit 3rd (32 points from 17 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Southend | 17 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 40 | 28 | 32 |
| 12 | AFC Hornchurch | 17 | 8 | 0 | 9 | 20 | 27 | 24 |
A question about AFC Hornchurch vs Southend?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for AFC Hornchurch vs Southend?
- The Footlab AI model makes AFC Hornchurch the favourite at 41%, against 24% for a draw and 35% for Southend.
- Where and when is AFC Hornchurch vs Southend played?
- AFC Hornchurch vs Southend is played on March 29, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Hornchurch Stadium, in the National League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.