AFC Fylde vs Barrow: prediction and stats
National LeagueRegular Season - 42Kick-off on March 29, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Mill Farm Stadium, Wesham
The Footlab model makes AFC Fylde the favourite at 68%, against 19% for a draw and 13% for Barrow. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win AFC Fylde vs Barrow?
AFC Fylde starts as the favourite with a 289-point Elo edge (1,914 vs 1,625).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, AFC Fylde have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Barrow have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Woking(away) | 2-3 | National League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Tamworth(away) | 2-1 | National League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Wealdstone(home) | 2-2 | National League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Rylands(away) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Morecambe(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Harrogate Town(away) | 2-2 | National League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | AFC Hornchurch(home) | 1-2 | National League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Hartlepool(away) | 0-2 | National League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Morecambe(away) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Blackpool(home) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 AFC Fylde win(s), 3 draw(s), 2 Barrow win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 30, 2024 | Barrow 0-1 AFC Fylde | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 18, 2023 | AFC Fylde 0-2 Barrow | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jan 1, 2020 | AFC Fylde 0-1 Barrow | National League |
| Dec 26, 2019 | Barrow 1-1 AFC Fylde | National League |
| Jan 1, 2019 | AFC Fylde 0-0 Barrow | National League |
| Dec 26, 2018 | Barrow 1-1 AFC Fylde | National League |
How many goals should we expect?
AFC Fylde score 1.9 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Barrow score 1.3 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AFC Fylde | 1.9 | 1.7 | 2 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
| Barrow | 1.3 | 1.5 | 5 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
AFC Fylde sit 13th in National League (4 points from 3 matches) and Barrow sit 20th (1 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | AFC Fylde | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 4 |
| 20 | Barrow | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for AFC Fylde vs Barrow?
- The Footlab model makes AFC Fylde the favourite at 68%, against 19% for a draw and 13% for Barrow.
- Where and when is AFC Fylde vs Barrow played?
- AFC Fylde vs Barrow is played on March 29, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Mill Farm Stadium, in the National League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.