AFC Fylde vs Barrow: prediction and stats
National LeagueRegular Season - 42Kick-off on March 29, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Mill Farm Stadium, Wesham
The Footlab AI model makes AFC Fylde the favourite at 62%, against 21% for a draw and 17% for Barrow. The most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,440 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win AFC Fylde vs Barrow?
AFC Fylde starts as the favourite with a 185-point Elo edge (1,945 vs 1,759).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for AFC Fylde vs Barrow
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
AFC Fylde
4-3-3- 8T. Whelan
- 7Luca Thomas
- 19C. Main
- 6C. Merrie
- 10D. Mayor
- 14G. Olley
- 17C. Whelan
- 29A. Drewe
- 15W. Lancaster
- 3H. Broad
- 1Z. Jones
Barrow
4-3-3- 14Sebastian Blake Thompson
- 9A. Reid
- 19A. Allen
- 26R. Harper
- 5C. Edwards
- 27I. Marriott
- 25P. Kalambayi
- 2M. Oakley
- 36T. Latty-Fairweather
- 6K. Digie
- 1B. Winterbottom
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 12:09 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, AFC Fylde have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Barrow have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Scunthorpe(home) | 2-0 | National League |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Southend(away) | 1-3 | National League |
| Sep 29, 2026 | Carlisle(home) | 0-2 | National League |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Boston United(away) | 1-0 | National League |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Altrincham(home) | 1-2 | National League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Tamworth(away) | 2-1 | National League |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Wealdstone(home) | 2-1 | National League |
| Sep 29, 2026 | Scunthorpe(home) | 3-0 | National League |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Southend(away) | 4-2 | National League |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Aldershot Town(home) | 1-0 | National League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 AFC Fylde win, 3 draws, 2 Barrow wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 30, 2024 | Barrow 0-1 AFC Fylde | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 18, 2023 | AFC Fylde 0-2 Barrow | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jan 1, 2020 | AFC Fylde 0-1 Barrow | National League |
| Dec 26, 2019 | Barrow 1-1 AFC Fylde | National League |
| Jan 1, 2019 | AFC Fylde 0-0 Barrow | National League |
| Dec 26, 2018 | Barrow 1-1 AFC Fylde | National League |
How many goals should we expect?
AFC Fylde score 1.7 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Barrow score 1.7 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AFC Fylde | 1.7 | 1.4 | 3 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
| Barrow | 1.7 | 1.1 | 5 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
AFC Fylde sit 7th in National League (23 points from 13 matches) and Barrow sit 8th (21 points from 13 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | AFC Fylde | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 24 | 18 | 23 |
| 8 | Barrow | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 22 | 16 | 21 |
A question about AFC Fylde vs Barrow?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for AFC Fylde vs Barrow?
- The Footlab AI model makes AFC Fylde the favourite at 62%, against 21% for a draw and 17% for Barrow.
- Where and when is AFC Fylde vs Barrow played?
- AFC Fylde vs Barrow is played on March 29, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Mill Farm Stadium, in the National League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.