AFC Leopards vs Tusker: prediction and stats
FKF Premier LeagueRegular Season - 3Kick-off on October 8, 2022 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Nyayo National Stadium, Nairobi
Match postponed — new date to be confirmed
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, AFC Leopards have 6 wins, 7 draws and 2 defeats; Tusker have 9, 6 and 0.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 18, 2022 | Murang'a SEAL(home) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 4, 2022 | Ulinzi Stars(home) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jun 12, 2022 | Nzoia Sugar(away) | 1-3 | FKF Premier League |
| Jun 6, 2022 | Nairobi City Stars(home) | 1-1 | FKF Premier League |
| May 29, 2022 | Homeboyz(away) | 2-0 | FKF Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 18, 2022 | Mara Sugar(away) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jun 12, 2022 | Posta Rangers FC(home) | 2-0 | FKF Premier League |
| Jun 5, 2022 | Bidco United(away) | 2-0 | FKF Premier League |
| May 22, 2022 | Nzoia Sugar(home) | 2-2 | FKF Premier League |
| May 15, 2022 | Nairobi City Stars(away) | 0-0 | FKF Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 AFC Leopards win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 Tusker win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 24, 2022 | Tusker 2-1 AFC Leopards | FKF Premier League |
| Sep 26, 2021 | AFC Leopards 1-0 Tusker | FKF Premier League |
| Jul 16, 2021 | Tusker 2-0 AFC Leopards | FKF Premier League |
| Dec 20, 2020 | Tusker 1-0 AFC Leopards | FKF Premier League |
| Feb 9, 2020 | AFC Leopards 0-1 Tusker | FKF Premier League |
| Dec 15, 2019 | Tusker 0-0 AFC Leopards | FKF Premier League |
Last archived meeting: Tusker vs AFC Leopards on Apr 24, 2022
How many goals should we expect?
AFC Leopards score 1.6 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Tusker score 1.4 and concede 0.4.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AFC Leopards | 1.6 | 1.1 | 3 | 12/15 | 8/15 |
| Tusker | 1.4 | 0.4 | 10 | 5/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
AFC Leopards sit 2nd in FKF Premier League (64 points from 34 matches) and Tusker sit 9th (45 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | AFC Leopards | 34 | 19 | 7 | 8 | 44 | 28 | 64 |
| 9 | Tusker | 34 | 13 | 6 | 15 | 27 | 32 | 45 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy