GOR Mahia vs AFC Leopards: prediction and stats
FKF Premier LeagueRegular Season - 11Kick-off on November 20, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Nyayo National Stadium, Nairobi
The Footlab AI model makes GOR Mahia the favourite at 43%, against 30% for a draw and 27% for AFC Leopards. The most likely score is 1-1. If GOR Mahia wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,495 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win GOR Mahia vs AFC Leopards?
A very open match: only 91 Elo points separate GOR Mahia (1,683) and AFC Leopards (1,592).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for GOR Mahia vs AFC Leopards
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
GOR Mahia
4-3-3- 40C. Ochieng Oduor
- 30S. Kapen
- 22B. Ochieng
- 6E. Morrison
- 10A. Otieno
- 26P. Otieno
- 2G. Ochieng
- 5Alphonce Omija
- 15S. Owino
- 19Shariff Sirengo
- 35K. Omondi Onyango
AFC Leopards
Not enough data to predict the AFC Leopards lineup.
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 06:02 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, GOR Mahia have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; AFC Leopards have 8, 1 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | Murang'a SEAL(home) | 4-2 | FKF Premier League |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Pyramids FC(away) | 1-5 | CAF Champions League |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Pyramids FC(home) | 0-2 | CAF Champions League |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Rayon Sports(away) | 1-2 | CECAFA Club Cup |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Al Hilal Omdurman(home) | 1-1 | CECAFA Club Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 14, 2026 | Bandari(home) | 0-0 | FKF Premier League |
| May 31, 2026 | Bidco United(home) | 1-2 | FKF Premier League |
| May 24, 2026 | APS Bomet(away) | 1-2 | FKF Premier League |
| May 16, 2026 | Homeboyz(away) | 2-1 | FKF Premier League |
| May 13, 2026 | Ulinzi Stars(away) | 2-0 | FKF Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 GOR Mahia wins, 2 draws, 1 AFC Leopards win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 26, 2026 | AFC Leopards 0-1 GOR Mahia | FKF Premier League |
| Dec 7, 2025 | GOR Mahia 0-1 AFC Leopards | FKF Premier League |
| Jun 2, 2025 | GOR Mahia 1-1 AFC Leopards | FKF Premier League |
| Mar 30, 2025 | AFC Leopards 0-0 GOR Mahia | FKF Premier League |
| Apr 21, 2024 | GOR Mahia 1-0 AFC Leopards | FKF Premier League |
| Oct 7, 2023 | AFC Leopards 0-2 GOR Mahia | FKF Premier League |
Last archived meeting: AFC Leopards vs GOR Mahia on Apr 26, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
GOR Mahia score 1.3 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; AFC Leopards score 1.3 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 38% probability of over 2.5 goals and 44% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GOR Mahia | 1.3 | 1.1 | 6 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
| AFC Leopards | 1.3 | 1.1 | 6 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
GOR Mahia sit 1st in FKF Premier League (3 points from 1 match) and AFC Leopards sit 12th (1 point from 1 match).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | GOR Mahia | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 3 |
| 12 | AFC Leopards | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
A question about GOR Mahia vs AFC Leopards?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for GOR Mahia vs AFC Leopards?
- The Footlab AI model makes GOR Mahia the favourite at 43%, against 30% for a draw and 27% for AFC Leopards.
- Where and when is GOR Mahia vs AFC Leopards played?
- GOR Mahia vs AFC Leopards is played on November 20, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Nyayo National Stadium, in the FKF Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 38% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.