AFC Sudbury vs Crawley Down Gatwick: result 5-0 and analysis
FA Trophy1st Round QualifyingKick-off on October 19, 2013 at 02:00 PM (UTC)MEL Group Stadium, Sudbury, Suffolk
Full time
What was the result of AFC Sudbury vs Crawley Down Gatwick?
AFC Sudbury won 5-0 on October 19, 2013.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 12 matches in all competitions, AFC Sudbury have 7 wins, 0 draws and 5 defeats; Crawley Down Gatwick have 2, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 12, 2013 | Needham Market(away) | 1-2 | FA Cup |
| Oct 5, 2013 | Worthing(home) | 2-0 | FA Trophy |
| Sep 14, 2013 | Burnham Ramblers(away) | 2-1 | FA Cup |
| Aug 31, 2013 | Ipswich Wanderers(home) | 4-1 | FA Cup |
| Sep 15, 2012 | Faversham Town(away) | 0-1 | FA Trophy |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 8, 2013 | Walton Casuals(home) | 1-0 | FA Trophy |
| Oct 5, 2013 | Walton Casuals(away) | 1-1 | FA Trophy |
| Aug 31, 2013 | Guernsey(home) | 1-3 | FA Cup |
| Sep 29, 2012 | Three Bridges(home) | 1-2 | FA Trophy |
| Sep 15, 2012 | Witham Town(home) | 2-1 | FA Trophy |
How many goals should we expect?
AFC Sudbury score 2.1 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 12; Crawley Down Gatwick score 1.1 and concede 1.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AFC Sudbury | 2.1 | 1.2 | 4 | 6/12 | 7/12 |
| Crawley Down Gatwick | 1.1 | 1.9 | 1 | 6/9 | 5/9 |
Over the last 12 matches in all competitions.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
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