AFC Telford United vs Spennymoor Town: prediction and stats
National League - NorthNational League North - 45Kick-off on April 17, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)New Bucks Head Ground, Telford, Shropshire
The Footlab model makes AFC Telford United the favourite at 47%, against 25% for a draw and 27% for Spennymoor Town. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win AFC Telford United vs Spennymoor Town?
A very open match: only 25 Elo points separate AFC Telford United (1,859) and Spennymoor Town (1,834).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, AFC Telford United have 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats; Spennymoor Town have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Hednesford Town(home) | 1-1 | National League - North |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Merthyr Town(away) | 2-2 | National League - North |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Worksop Town(away) | 1-2 | National League - North |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Brackley Town(home) | 1-2 | National League - North |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Tamworth(home) | 1-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Oxford City(home) | 1-4 | National League - North |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Scarborough Athletic(away) | 0-3 | National League - North |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Merthyr Town(home) | 2-1 | National League - North |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Morecambe(away) | 1-1 | National League - North |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Gateshead(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 AFC Telford United win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Spennymoor Town win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 3, 2026 | Spennymoor Town 0-2 AFC Telford United | National League - North |
| Aug 30, 2025 | AFC Telford United 3-0 Spennymoor Town | National League - North |
| Jan 7, 2023 | AFC Telford United 1-1 Spennymoor Town | National League - North |
| Aug 13, 2022 | Spennymoor Town 1-1 AFC Telford United | National League - North |
| Mar 19, 2022 | AFC Telford United 2-0 Spennymoor Town | National League - North |
| Oct 9, 2021 | Spennymoor Town 1-0 AFC Telford United | National League - North |
Last archived meeting: Spennymoor Town vs AFC Telford United on Feb 3, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
AFC Telford United score 1.2 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Spennymoor Town score 1.2 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AFC Telford United | 1.2 | 1.7 | 2 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| Spennymoor Town | 1.2 | 1.4 | 2 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
AFC Telford United sit 22nd in National League - North (2 points from 4 matches) and Spennymoor Town sit 17th (4 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Spennymoor Town | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 4 |
| 22 | AFC Telford United | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 2 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for AFC Telford United vs Spennymoor Town?
- The Footlab model makes AFC Telford United the favourite at 47%, against 25% for a draw and 27% for Spennymoor Town.
- Where and when is AFC Telford United vs Spennymoor Town played?
- AFC Telford United vs Spennymoor Town is played on April 17, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at New Bucks Head Ground, in the National League - North.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.