Match

Oxford City vs Chester: prediction and stats

National League - NorthNational League North - 45Kick-off on April 17, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)RAW Charging Stadium, Oxford, Oxfordshire

Oxford CityChester

The Footlab model makes Chester the favourite at 38%, against 28% for a draw and 34% for Oxford City. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Oxford City vs Chester?

A very open match: only 83 Elo points separate Oxford City (1,875) and Chester (1,958).

Oxford City win34 %
Draw28 %
Chester win38 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Oxford City have 9 wins, 4 draws and 2 defeats; Chester have 11, 2 and 2.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Oxford City
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Spennymoor Town(away)4-1National League - North
Aug 18, 2026Harborough Town(home)1-1National League - North
Aug 15, 2026Spalding United(away)1-0National League - North
Aug 8, 2026Bedford Town(home)1-0National League - North
Jul 28, 2026Slough Town(away)1-2Friendlies Clubs
Chester
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Spalding United(home)1-0National League - North
Aug 18, 2026Darlington 1883(away)1-0National League - North
Aug 15, 2026King's Lynn Town(home)2-0National League - North
Aug 8, 2026Chorley(away)2-1National League - North
Aug 1, 2026Crewe(home)0-0Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 4 meetings: 0 Oxford City win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Chester win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Apr 18, 2026Oxford City 1-2 ChesterNational League - North
Aug 25, 2025Chester 2-1 Oxford CityNational League - North
Feb 25, 2025Oxford City 0-0 ChesterNational League - North
Nov 26, 2024Chester 3-1 Oxford CityNational League - North

Last archived meeting: Oxford City vs Chester on Apr 18, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Oxford City score 1.9 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Chester score 1.3 and concede 0.3. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Oxford City1.91.0411/158/15
Chester1.30.3113/154/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Oxford City sit 2nd in National League - North (10 points from 4 matches) and Chester sit 1st (12 points from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
1Chester44006112
2Oxford City43107210

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Oxford City vs Chester?
The Footlab model makes Chester the favourite at 38%, against 28% for a draw and 34% for Oxford City.
Where and when is Oxford City vs Chester played?
Oxford City vs Chester is played on April 17, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at RAW Charging Stadium, in the National League - North.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Oxford City and Chester

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