Match

Spennymoor Town vs Buxton: prediction and stats

National League - NorthNational League North - 46Kick-off on April 24, 2027 at 04:30 PM (UTC)The Brewery Field, Spennymoor, County Durham

Spennymoor TownBuxton

The Footlab model makes Buxton the favourite at 48%, against 25% for a draw and 27% for Spennymoor Town. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Spennymoor Town vs Buxton?

A very open match: only 87 Elo points separate Spennymoor Town (1,834) and Buxton (1,920).

Spennymoor Town win27 %
Draw25 %
Buxton win48 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Spennymoor Town have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Buxton have 9, 2 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Spennymoor Town
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Oxford City(home)1-4National League - North
Aug 18, 2026Scarborough Athletic(away)0-3National League - North
Aug 15, 2026Merthyr Town(home)2-1National League - North
Aug 8, 2026Morecambe(away)1-1National League - North
Aug 1, 2026Gateshead(home)2-1Friendlies Clubs
Buxton
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Hebburn Town(home)1-2National League - North
Aug 18, 2026Bedford Town(away)1-2National League - North
Aug 15, 2026Southport(away)1-1National League - North
Aug 8, 2026Hereford(home)2-1National League - North
Aug 1, 2026Warrington Town(away)2-1Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Spennymoor Town win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Buxton win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Jan 31, 2026Buxton 1-2 Spennymoor TownNational League - North
Dec 13, 2025Spennymoor Town 2-2 BuxtonNational League - North
Mar 11, 2025Buxton 1-0 Spennymoor TownNational League - North
Nov 30, 2024Spennymoor Town 1-1 BuxtonNational League - North
Dec 16, 2023Spennymoor Town 2-3 BuxtonNational League - North
Sep 23, 2023Buxton 0-2 Spennymoor TownNational League - North

Last archived meeting: Buxton vs Spennymoor Town on Jan 31, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Spennymoor Town score 1.2 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Buxton score 2.1 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Spennymoor Town1.21.4210/158/15
Buxton2.11.2410/1510/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Spennymoor Town sit 17th in National League - North (4 points from 4 matches) and Buxton sit 14th (4 points from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
14Buxton4112564
17Spennymoor Town4112494

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Spennymoor Town vs Buxton?
The Footlab model makes Buxton the favourite at 48%, against 25% for a draw and 27% for Spennymoor Town.
Where and when is Spennymoor Town vs Buxton played?
Spennymoor Town vs Buxton is played on April 24, 2027 at 04:30 PM (UTC) at The Brewery Field, in the National League - North.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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