Spennymoor Town vs Buxton: prediction and stats
National League - NorthNational League North - 46Kick-off on April 24, 2027 at 04:30 PM (UTC)The Brewery Field, Spennymoor, County Durham
The Footlab AI model makes Buxton the favourite at 40%, against 26% for a draw and 34% for Spennymoor Town. The most likely score is 1-1. If Buxton wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,785 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 19, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Spennymoor Town vs Buxton?
A very open match: only 67 Elo points separate Spennymoor Town (1,839) and Buxton (1,906).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Spennymoor Town vs Buxton
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Spennymoor Town
4-3-3- 16Ben Pollock
- 11J. Mondal
- 36Cameron Salkeld
- 29M. Dolan
- 7M. Heaney
- 28Corey McKeown
- 3D. Jones
- 2O. Dyson
- 4M. Hancox
- 6Ben Beals
- 13Ryan Johnson
Buxton
Not enough data to predict the Buxton lineup.
Computed on October 19, 2026 at 02:06 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Spennymoor Town have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Buxton have 7, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Harborough Town(away) | 1-3 | FA Cup |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Brackley Town(away) | 1-2 | National League - North |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Chester(home) | 4-1 | FA Cup |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Southport(away) | 2-2 | National League - North |
| Sep 19, 2026 | AFC Emley(away) | 4-0 | FA Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Worksop Town(home) | 2-2 | National League - North |
| Oct 10, 2026 | King's Lynn Town(away) | 0-1 | National League - North |
| Oct 3, 2026 | South Shields(home) | 0-2 | FA Cup |
| Sep 26, 2026 | South Shields(away) | 0-4 | National League - North |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Ashton United(home) | 1-0 | FA Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Spennymoor Town wins, 2 draws, 2 Buxton wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 31, 2026 | Buxton 1-2 Spennymoor Town | National League - North |
| Dec 13, 2025 | Spennymoor Town 2-2 Buxton | National League - North |
| Mar 11, 2025 | Buxton 1-0 Spennymoor Town | National League - North |
| Nov 30, 2024 | Spennymoor Town 1-1 Buxton | National League - North |
| Dec 16, 2023 | Spennymoor Town 2-3 Buxton | National League - North |
| Sep 23, 2023 | Buxton 0-2 Spennymoor Town | National League - North |
Last archived meeting: Buxton vs Spennymoor Town on Jan 31, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Spennymoor Town score 1.5 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Buxton score 1.5 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spennymoor Town | 1.5 | 1.9 | 1 | 13/15 | 12/15 |
| Buxton | 1.5 | 1.6 | 2 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Spennymoor Town sit 24th in National League - North (7 points from 11 matches) and Buxton sit 11th (17 points from 12 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Buxton | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 20 | 21 | 17 |
| 24 | Spennymoor Town | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 12 | 23 | 7 |
A question about Spennymoor Town vs Buxton?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Spennymoor Town vs Buxton?
- The Footlab AI model makes Buxton the favourite at 40%, against 26% for a draw and 34% for Spennymoor Town.
- Where and when is Spennymoor Town vs Buxton played?
- Spennymoor Town vs Buxton is played on April 24, 2027 at 04:30 PM (UTC) at The Brewery Field, in the National League - North.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
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