AFC Wimbledon vs Mansfield Town: prediction and stats
League OneRegular Season - 12Kick-off on October 20, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC)The Cherry Red Records Stadium, London
The Footlab AI model makes Mansfield Town the favourite at 49%, against 26% for a draw and 25% for AFC Wimbledon. The most likely score is 1-1. If Mansfield Town wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,451 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win AFC Wimbledon vs Mansfield Town?
A very open match: only 63 Elo points separate AFC Wimbledon (1,811) and Mansfield Town (1,873).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for AFC Wimbledon vs Mansfield Town
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
AFC Wimbledon
3-4-2-1- 9J. Stockley
- 3S. Seddon
- 5O. Harrison
- 8C. Maycock
- 12A. Smith
- 29A. Sasu
- 21M. Hippolyte
- 33I. Ogundere
- 17A. Yiadom
- 6R. Johnson
- 39J. Bursik
Mansfield Town
3-1-4-2- 14M. Smith
- 18R. Oates
- 25L. Reed
- 16L. Thompson
- 22N. Moriah-Welsh
- 13J. Russell
- 3S. McLaughlin
- 5R. Sweeney
- 23A. Oshilaja
- 4E. Hewitt
- 1L. Roberts
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 09:06 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, AFC Wimbledon have 3 wins, 6 draws and 6 defeats; Mansfield Town have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Plymouth(away) | 1-2 | League One |
| Oct 6, 2026 | Barnet(home) | 0-0 | EFL Trophy |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Cambridge United(away) | 1-1 | League One |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Milton Keynes Dons(home) | 0-0 | League One |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Doncaster(home) | 1-0 | League One |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2026 | Oxford United(home) | 1-1 | League One |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Bromley(home) | 2-1 | League One |
| Oct 6, 2026 | Port Vale(away) | 0-2 | EFL Trophy |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Burton Albion(away) | 2-2 | League One |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Huddersfield(home) | 0-0 | League One |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 AFC Wimbledon win, 3 draws, 2 Mansfield Town wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2026 | Mansfield Town 2-2 AFC Wimbledon | League One |
| Dec 13, 2025 | AFC Wimbledon 0-0 Mansfield Town | League One |
| Jan 27, 2024 | AFC Wimbledon 2-1 Mansfield Town | League Two |
| Oct 7, 2023 | Mansfield Town 0-0 AFC Wimbledon | League Two |
| Mar 4, 2023 | AFC Wimbledon 1-3 Mansfield Town | League Two |
| Aug 16, 2022 | Mansfield Town 5-2 AFC Wimbledon | League Two |
Last archived meeting: Mansfield Town vs AFC Wimbledon on Feb 28, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
AFC Wimbledon score 0.7 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Mansfield Town score 1.5 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AFC Wimbledon | 0.7 | 1.3 | 6 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
| Mansfield Town | 1.5 | 2.1 | 2 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
AFC Wimbledon sit 12th in League One (12 points from 9 matches) and Mansfield Town sit 11th (12 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Mansfield Town | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 15 | 12 |
| 12 | AFC Wimbledon | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 12 |
A question about AFC Wimbledon vs Mansfield Town?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for AFC Wimbledon vs Mansfield Town?
- The Footlab AI model makes Mansfield Town the favourite at 49%, against 26% for a draw and 25% for AFC Wimbledon.
- Where and when is AFC Wimbledon vs Mansfield Town played?
- AFC Wimbledon vs Mansfield Town is played on October 20, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC) at The Cherry Red Records Stadium, in the League One.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.