Match

AFC Wimbledon vs Wigan: prediction and stats

League OneRegular Season - 3Kick-off on August 30, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)The Cherry Red Records Stadium, London

AFC WimbledonWigan

The Footlab model makes Wigan the favourite at 37%, against 28% for a draw and 35% for AFC Wimbledon. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win AFC Wimbledon vs Wigan?

A very open match: only 49 Elo points separate AFC Wimbledon (1,732) and Wigan (1,780).

AFC Wimbledon win35 %
Draw28 %
Wigan win37 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, AFC Wimbledon have 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats; Wigan have 5, 4 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

AFC Wimbledon
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Reading(home)0-0League One
Aug 18, 2026Leyton Orient(away)1-1EFL Trophy
Aug 15, 2026Huddersfield(away)0-3League One
Aug 8, 2026Newport County(home)1-1League Cup
Aug 1, 2026QPR(home)2-3Friendlies Clubs
Wigan
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Leyton Orient(home)0-2League One
Aug 18, 2026Aston Villa U21(home)3-2EFL Trophy
Aug 15, 2026Cambridge United(away)2-3League One
Aug 8, 2026Barnsley(away)1-1League Cup
Aug 1, 2026Grimsby(away)0-2Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 AFC Wimbledon win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Wigan win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Apr 25, 2026Wigan 0-1 AFC WimbledonLeague One
Nov 22, 2025AFC Wimbledon 1-2 WiganLeague One
Mar 5, 2022Wigan 1-0 AFC WimbledonLeague One
Oct 23, 2021AFC Wimbledon 0-2 WiganLeague One
Mar 16, 2021AFC Wimbledon 1-1 WiganLeague One
Feb 6, 2021Wigan 2-3 AFC WimbledonLeague One

Last archived meeting: Wigan vs AFC Wimbledon on Apr 25, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

AFC Wimbledon score 0.7 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Wigan score 1.2 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
AFC Wimbledon0.71.545/156/15
Wigan1.21.156/157/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

AFC Wimbledon sit 23rd in League One (1 points from 2 matches) and Wigan sit 24th (0 points from 2 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
23AFC Wimbledon2011031
24Wigan2002250

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for AFC Wimbledon vs Wigan?
The Footlab model makes Wigan the favourite at 37%, against 28% for a draw and 35% for AFC Wimbledon.
Where and when is AFC Wimbledon vs Wigan played?
AFC Wimbledon vs Wigan is played on August 30, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at The Cherry Red Records Stadium, in the League One.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: AFC Wimbledon and Wigan

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