Afragolese vs Akragas: result 3-2 and analysis
Serie D - Girone IGroup I - 9Kick-off on October 22, 2023 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Comunale Domenico Iorio, Casalnuovo
Full time
What was the result of Afragolese vs Akragas?
Afragolese won 3-2 on October 22, 2023.
Goalscorers
- 38′ReginaldoAfragolese (pen.)
- 52′?Afragolese
- 60′P. GrilloAkragas
- 90′?Afragolese
- 90′?Akragas
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Afragolese have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Akragas have 6, 1 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2023 | Angri Calcio(away) | 1-3 | Coppa Italia Serie D |
| Oct 15, 2023 | Vibonese(away) | 0-2 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Oct 8, 2023 | Castrovillari(home) | 3-2 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Oct 4, 2023 | Trapani 1905(away) | 0-4 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Oct 1, 2023 | Ragusa(home) | 1-3 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2023 | Canicattì(home) | 1-1 | Coppa Italia Serie D |
| Oct 8, 2023 | Vibonese(home) | 1-2 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Oct 4, 2023 | Castrovillari(away) | 2-1 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Oct 1, 2023 | Trapani 1905(home) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Sep 24, 2023 | Ragusa(away) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone I |
How many goals should we expect?
Afragolese score 1.6 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Akragas score 0.9 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Afragolese | 1.6 | 1.7 | 3 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
| Akragas | 0.9 | 1.3 | 5 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy