Afragolese vs Nuova Gioiese: result 3-1 and analysis
Serie D - Girone IGroup I - 3Kick-off on September 20, 2023 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Comunale Domenico Iorio, Casalnuovo
Full time
What was the result of Afragolese vs Nuova Gioiese?
Afragolese won 3-1 on September 20, 2023.
Goalscorers
- 13′?Afragolese
- 44′?Afragolese
- 54′?Afragolese
- 71′?Nuova Gioiese
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Afragolese have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Nuova Gioiese have 1, 0 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 17, 2023 | Licata(away) | 1-2 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Sep 10, 2023 | Portici(home) | 3-1 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Sep 3, 2023 | Matese(home) | 3-0 | Coppa Italia Serie D |
| May 7, 2023 | Molfetta Calcio(away) | 2-0 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Apr 30, 2023 | Gladiator(home) | 2-2 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 17, 2023 | Akragas(home) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Sep 10, 2023 | Vibonese(away) | 0-2 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Sep 3, 2023 | Vibonese(away) | 0-2 | Coppa Italia Serie D |
| Aug 27, 2023 | San Luca(away) | 2-0 | Coppa Italia Serie D |
How many goals should we expect?
Afragolese score 1.3 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Nuova Gioiese score 0.5 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Afragolese | 1.3 | 1.1 | 5 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Nuova Gioiese | 0.5 | 1.3 | 1 | 0/4 | 0/4 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy