Afragolese vs Nuova Gioiese: result 3-1 and analysis
Serie D - Girone IGroup I - 3Kick-off on September 20, 2023 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Comunale Domenico Iorio, Casalnuovo
Full time
What was the result of Afragolese vs Nuova Gioiese?
Afragolese won 3-1 on September 20, 2023.
Goalscorers
- 13′?Afragolese
- 44′?Afragolese
- 54′?Afragolese
- 71′?Nuova Gioiese
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Afragolese have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Nuova Gioiese have 1, 0 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 17, 2023 | Licata(away) | 1-2 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Sep 10, 2023 | Portici(home) | 3-1 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Sep 3, 2023 | Matese(home) | 3-0 | Coppa Italia Serie D |
| May 7, 2023 | Molfetta Calcio(away) | 2-0 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Apr 30, 2023 | Gladiator(home) | 2-2 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 17, 2023 | Akragas(home) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Sep 10, 2023 | Vibonese(away) | 0-2 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Sep 3, 2023 | Vibonese(away) | 0-2 | Coppa Italia Serie D |
| Aug 27, 2023 | San Luca(away) | 2-0 | Coppa Italia Serie D |
How many goals should we expect?
Afragolese score 1.3 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Nuova Gioiese score 0.5 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Afragolese | 1.3 | 1.1 | 5 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Nuova Gioiese | 0.5 | 1.3 | 1 | 0/4 | 0/4 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
A question about Afragolese vs Nuova Gioiese?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy