Afragolese vs Sarrabus Ogliastra: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone GGroup G - 24Kick-off on February 14, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Stadio Comunale Domenico Iorio, Casalnuovo
The Footlab AI model makes Afragolese the favourite at 48%, against 26% for a draw and 26% for Sarrabus Ogliastra. The most likely score is 1-1. If Afragolese wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,793 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 19, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Afragolese vs Sarrabus Ogliastra?
A very open match: only 81 Elo points separate Afragolese (1,713) and Sarrabus Ogliastra (1,632).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Afragolese vs Sarrabus Ogliastra
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Afragolese
Not enough data to predict the Afragolese lineup.
Sarrabus Ogliastra
Not enough data to predict the Sarrabus Ogliastra lineup.
Computed on October 19, 2026 at 07:38 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Afragolese have 3 wins, 7 draws and 5 defeats; Sarrabus Ogliastra have 2, 6 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Atletico Lodigiani(home) | 4-0 | Serie D - Girone G |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Sarrabus Ogliastra(away) | 0-0 | Serie D - Girone G |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Ossese(home) | 0-2 | Serie D - Girone G |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Città di Anagni(away) | 0-4 | Serie D - Girone G |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Venafro(home) | 4-0 | Serie D - Girone G |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Trastevere(away) | 2-3 | Serie D - Girone G |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Afragolese(home) | 0-0 | Serie D - Girone G |
| Oct 7, 2026 | Latte Dolce(away) | 0-3 | Coppa Italia Serie D |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Latte Dolce(away) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone G |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Unipomezia(home) | 2-2 | Serie D - Girone G |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 0 Afragolese wins, 1 draw, 0 Sarrabus Ogliastra wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Sarrabus Ogliastra 0-0 Afragolese | Serie D - Girone G |
Last archived meeting: Sarrabus Ogliastra vs Afragolese on Oct 11, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Afragolese score 0.9 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Sarrabus Ogliastra score 0.8 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Afragolese | 0.9 | 1.4 | 6 | 4/15 | 6/15 |
| Sarrabus Ogliastra | 0.8 | 1.3 | 4 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Afragolese sit 9th in Serie D - Girone G (10 points from 8 matches) and Sarrabus Ogliastra sit 15th (6 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Afragolese | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 10 |
| 15 | Sarrabus Ogliastra | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 6 |
A question about Afragolese vs Sarrabus Ogliastra?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Afragolese vs Sarrabus Ogliastra?
- The Footlab AI model makes Afragolese the favourite at 48%, against 26% for a draw and 26% for Sarrabus Ogliastra.
- Where and when is Afragolese vs Sarrabus Ogliastra played?
- Afragolese vs Sarrabus Ogliastra is played on February 14, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Stadio Comunale Domenico Iorio, in the Serie D - Girone G.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.