Sarnese vs Atletico Lodigiani: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone GGroup G - 24Kick-off on February 14, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Stadio Felice Squitieri, Sarno
The Footlab AI model makes Sarnese the favourite at 56%, against 24% for a draw and 20% for Atletico Lodigiani. The most likely score is 1-1. If Sarnese wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,761 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 18, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sarnese vs Atletico Lodigiani?
Sarnese starts as the favourite with a 165-point Elo edge (1,772 vs 1,607).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Sarnese vs Atletico Lodigiani
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Sarnese
Not enough data to predict the Sarnese lineup.
Atletico Lodigiani
Not enough data to predict the Atletico Lodigiani lineup.
Computed on October 18, 2026 at 10:45 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sarnese have 8 wins, 5 draws and 2 defeats; Atletico Lodigiani have 2, 3 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Città di Anagni(home) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone G |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Atletico Lodigiani(away) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone G |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Paganese(home) | 2-1 | Serie D - Girone G |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Ossese(away) | 2-2 | Serie D - Girone G |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Gelbison(home) | 3-1 | Serie D - Girone G |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Afragolese(away) | 0-4 | Serie D - Girone G |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Sarnese(home) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone G |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Unipomezia(away) | 1-3 | Serie D - Girone G |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Trastevere(home) | 2-3 | Serie D - Girone G |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Certosa V. Campagnano(away) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone G |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 2 Sarnese wins, 1 draw, 0 Atletico Lodigiani wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Atletico Lodigiani 0-1 Sarnese | Serie D - Girone G |
| Apr 6, 2025 | Atletico Lodigiani 1-1 Sarnese | Serie D - Girone G |
| Nov 24, 2024 | Sarnese 4-0 Atletico Lodigiani | Serie D - Girone G |
Last archived meeting: Atletico Lodigiani vs Sarnese on Oct 11, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Sarnese score 1.7 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Atletico Lodigiani score 0.9 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sarnese | 1.7 | 1.1 | 4 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
| Atletico Lodigiani | 0.9 | 1.8 | 3 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sarnese sit 1st in Serie D - Girone G (17 points from 7 matches) and Atletico Lodigiani sit 18th (1 point from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sarnese | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 12 | 6 | 17 |
| 18 | Atletico Lodigiani | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 22 | 1 |
A question about Sarnese vs Atletico Lodigiani?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sarnese vs Atletico Lodigiani?
- The Footlab AI model makes Sarnese the favourite at 56%, against 24% for a draw and 20% for Atletico Lodigiani.
- Where and when is Sarnese vs Atletico Lodigiani played?
- Sarnese vs Atletico Lodigiani is played on February 14, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Stadio Felice Squitieri, in the Serie D - Girone G.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.