Budoni vs Paganese: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone GGroup G - 24Kick-off on February 14, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Stadio Comunale San Teodoro, San Teodoro
The Footlab AI model makes Paganese the favourite at 48%, against 26% for a draw and 26% for Budoni. The most likely score is 1-1. If Paganese wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,401 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Budoni vs Paganese?
Paganese starts as the favourite with a 154-point Elo edge (1,716 vs 1,562).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Budoni vs Paganese
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Budoni
Not enough data to predict the Budoni lineup.
Paganese
Not enough data to predict the Paganese lineup.
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 08:49 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Budoni have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Paganese have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Paganese(away) | 0-3 | Serie D - Girone G |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Monastir(home) | 1-5 | Serie D - Girone G |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Venafro(away) | 3-2 | Serie D - Girone G |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Anzio(home) | 2-0 | Serie D - Girone G |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Gelbison(away) | 1-2 | Serie D - Girone G |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Budoni(home) | 3-0 | Serie D - Girone G |
| Oct 7, 2026 | Real Normanna(home) | 1-1 | Coppa Italia Serie D |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Sarnese(away) | 1-2 | Serie D - Girone G |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Gelbison(home) | 2-3 | Serie D - Girone G |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Trastevere(away) | 6-1 | Serie D - Girone G |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 0 Budoni wins, 0 draws, 1 Paganese win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Paganese 3-0 Budoni | Serie D - Girone G |
How many goals should we expect?
Budoni score 1.2 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Paganese score 1.8 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Budoni | 1.2 | 1.5 | 6 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Paganese | 1.8 | 1.3 | 4 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Budoni sit 11th in Serie D - Girone G (7 points from 6 matches) and Paganese sit 7th (10 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Paganese | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 9 | 10 |
| 11 | Budoni | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 13 | 7 |
A question about Budoni vs Paganese?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Budoni vs Paganese?
- The Footlab AI model makes Paganese the favourite at 48%, against 26% for a draw and 26% for Budoni.
- Where and when is Budoni vs Paganese played?
- Budoni vs Paganese is played on February 14, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Stadio Comunale San Teodoro, in the Serie D - Girone G.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.