Afturelding vs IR Reykjavik: result 0-2 and analysis
2. DeildRegular Season - 11Kick-off on July 14, 2016 at 07:15 PM (UTC)Fagverksvöllurinn Varmá Gervigras, Mosfellsbær
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What was the result of Afturelding vs IR Reykjavik?
IR Reykjavik won 0-2 on July 14, 2016.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 10 matches in all competitions, Afturelding have 6 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats; IR Reykjavik have 7, 1 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 9, 2016 | Höttur(away) | 1-2 | 2. Deild |
| Jul 5, 2016 | Vestri(home) | 1-2 | 2. Deild |
| Jun 30, 2016 | Njardvik(away) | 1-0 | 2. Deild |
| Jun 25, 2016 | Grotta(home) | 1-1 | 2. Deild |
| Jun 11, 2016 | KF(away) | 2-0 | 2. Deild |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 9, 2016 | Sindri(home) | 3-0 | 2. Deild |
| Jul 5, 2016 | Magni(away) | 0-1 | 2. Deild |
| Jul 2, 2016 | Völsungur(home) | 2-1 | 2. Deild |
| Jun 24, 2016 | Ægir(away) | 3-0 | 2. Deild |
| Jun 11, 2016 | KV(home) | 2-0 | 2. Deild |
How many goals should we expect?
Afturelding score 1.8 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 10; IR Reykjavik score 1.8 and concede 0.7.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Afturelding | 1.8 | 1.1 | 3 | 7/10 | 6/10 |
| IR Reykjavik | 1.8 | 0.7 | 4 | 4/10 | 5/10 |
Over the last 10 matches in all competitions.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy