Agios Matthaios vs Panegialios: prediction and stats
Gamma Ethniki - Group 6Group 6 - 4Kick-off on October 18, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Dimotiko Gipedo Agios Mattheos, Agios Mattheos
The Footlab model makes Panegialios the favourite at 43%, against 29% for a draw and 28% for Agios Matthaios. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Agios Matthaios vs Panegialios?
Panegialios starts as the favourite with a 222-point Elo edge (1,649 vs 1,427).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Agios Matthaios have 2 wins, 6 draws and 7 defeats; Panegialios have 10, 5 and 0.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 10, 2022 | Asteras Kalirachis(away) | 1-1 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 2 |
| Apr 3, 2022 | Iraklis Ampelokipon(home) | 2-2 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 2 |
| Mar 30, 2022 | Poseidon Nea Michaniona(home) | 2-3 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 2 |
| Mar 26, 2022 | Makedonikos Neapolis(away) | 0-1 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 2 |
| Mar 23, 2022 | Lefkimmi(home) | 0-1 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 8, 2026 | Zakynthos(home) | 0-0 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Pelopas Kiatou(away) | 0-0 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 |
| Apr 1, 2026 | Pyrgos 1968(home) | 1-0 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 |
| Mar 28, 2026 | Miltiadis Pyrgos(away) | 3-0 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 |
| Mar 22, 2026 | Korinthos(home) | 2-0 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 |
How many goals should we expect?
Agios Matthaios score 1.0 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Panegialios score 1.9 and concede 0.4. The model gives a 41% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Agios Matthaios | 1.0 | 1.7 | 2 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Panegialios | 1.9 | 0.4 | 10 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Agios Matthaios vs Panegialios?
- The Footlab model makes Panegialios the favourite at 43%, against 29% for a draw and 28% for Agios Matthaios.
- Where and when is Agios Matthaios vs Panegialios played?
- Agios Matthaios vs Panegialios is played on October 18, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Dimotiko Gipedo Agios Mattheos, in the Gamma Ethniki - Group 6.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 41% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.