Match

Mpam vs Panedessaikos: prediction and stats

Gamma Ethniki - Group 2Group 2 - 12Kick-off on December 6, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)

MpamPanedessaikos

The Footlab AI model makes Mpam the favourite at 65%, against 21% for a draw and 14% for Panedessaikos. The most likely score is 2-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,800 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 19, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Mpam vs Panedessaikos?

On Elo ratings, Mpam has 1,581 points and Panedessaikos 1,534.

65%21%14%
Mpam winDrawPanedessaikos win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Mpam vs Panedessaikos

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Mpam

Not enough data to predict the Mpam lineup.

Panedessaikos

Not enough data to predict the Panedessaikos lineup.

Computed on October 19, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 4 matches in all competitions, Mpam have 2 wins, 2 draws and 0 defeats; Panedessaikos have 0, 1 and 2.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Mpam
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 18, 2026Kilkisiakos(away)4-4Gamma Ethniki - Group 2
Oct 11, 2026Akrites Sykeon(home)3-1Gamma Ethniki - Group 2
Oct 3, 2026PAO Kristoni(home)3-1Gamma Ethniki - Group 2
Sep 27, 2026Panedessaikos(away)1-1Gamma Ethniki - Group 2
Panedessaikos
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 18, 2026Polykastrou(away)0-1Gamma Ethniki - Group 2
Oct 3, 2026Iraklis Therm.(away)0-2Gamma Ethniki - Group 2
Sep 27, 2026Mpam(home)1-1Gamma Ethniki - Group 2

What does the head-to-head say?

In the last meeting: 0 Mpam wins, 1 draw, 0 Panedessaikos wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Sep 27, 2026Panedessaikos 1-1 MpamGamma Ethniki - Group 2

Last archived meeting: Panedessaikos vs Mpam on Sep 27, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Mpam score 2.8 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 4; Panedessaikos score 0.3 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Mpam2.81.804/43/4
Panedessaikos0.31.301/30/3

Over the last 4 matches in all competitions.

A question about Mpam vs Panedessaikos?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Mpam vs Panedessaikos?
The Footlab AI model makes Mpam the favourite at 65%, against 21% for a draw and 14% for Panedessaikos.
Where and when is Mpam vs Panedessaikos played?
Mpam vs Panedessaikos is played on December 6, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC), in the Gamma Ethniki - Group 2.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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