Match

Mazıdağı Fosfatspor vs Talasgücü Belediyespor: prediction and stats

3. Lig - Group 33. Lig Group 3 - 17Kick-off on December 20, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)21 Kasım Şehir Stadyumu, Mardin

Mazıdağı FosfatsporTalasgücü Belediyespor

The Footlab model makes Mazıdağı Fosfatspor the favourite at 44%, against 29% for a draw and 27% for Talasgücü Belediyespor. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Mazıdağı Fosfatspor vs Talasgücü Belediyespor?

A very open match: only 2 Elo points separate Mazıdağı Fosfatspor (1,580) and Talasgücü Belediyespor (1,579).

Mazıdağı Fosfatspor win44 %
Draw29 %
Talasgücü Belediyespor win27 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Mazıdağı Fosfatspor have 4 wins, 7 draws and 4 defeats; Talasgücü Belediyespor have 8, 4 and 3.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Mazıdağı Fosfatspor
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Apr 27, 2026Talasgücü Belediyespor(away)0-23. Lig - Play-offs
Apr 23, 2026Talasgücü Belediyespor(home)1-13. Lig - Play-offs
Apr 12, 2026Niğde Belediyesispor(away)1-03. Lig - Group 2
Apr 5, 2026Kahramanmaraşspor(home)0-23. Lig - Group 2
Mar 29, 2026Diyarbekirspor(away)1-03. Lig - Group 2
Talasgücü Belediyespor
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 8, 2026Yeşilyurt Belediyespor(home)3-43. Lig - Play-offs
May 4, 2026Yeşilyurt Belediyespor(away)0-03. Lig - Play-offs
Apr 27, 2026Mazıdağı Fosfatspor(home)2-03. Lig - Play-offs
Apr 23, 2026Mazıdağı Fosfatspor(away)1-13. Lig - Play-offs
Apr 18, 2026Niğde Belediyesispor(home)3-23. Lig - Group 2

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Mazıdağı Fosfatspor win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Talasgücü Belediyespor win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Apr 27, 2026Talasgücü Belediyespor 2-0 Mazıdağı Fosfatspor3. Lig - Play-offs
Apr 23, 2026Mazıdağı Fosfatspor 1-1 Talasgücü Belediyespor3. Lig - Play-offs
Mar 25, 2026Mazıdağı Fosfatspor 2-0 Talasgücü Belediyespor3. Lig - Group 2
Nov 30, 2025Talasgücü Belediyespor 1-1 Mazıdağı Fosfatspor3. Lig - Group 2

Last archived meeting: Talasgücü Belediyespor vs Mazıdağı Fosfatspor on Apr 27, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Mazıdağı Fosfatspor score 0.7 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Talasgücü Belediyespor score 1.7 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Mazıdağı Fosfatspor0.70.875/153/15
Talasgücü Belediyespor1.71.359/157/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Mazıdağı Fosfatspor vs Talasgücü Belediyespor?
The Footlab model makes Mazıdağı Fosfatspor the favourite at 44%, against 29% for a draw and 27% for Talasgücü Belediyespor.
Where and when is Mazıdağı Fosfatspor vs Talasgücü Belediyespor played?
Mazıdağı Fosfatspor vs Talasgücü Belediyespor is played on December 20, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at 21 Kasım Şehir Stadyumu, in the 3. Lig - Group 3.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Mazıdağı Fosfatspor and Talasgücü Belediyespor

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